NFL WEEK 15 202

 This has been a great NFL season. We have thoroughly enjoyed the games - and despite the Dolphins disappointing season, there is a lot to be excited for. 

There are two potential super bowl matchups today. Both are 4pm games and we will be switching back and forth between Bills- Lions and Steelers-Eagles. 

But before we get to those two games, here's some way to make a little extra Xmas money and pay for that Kobe beef steak at Prime 112. 

We were at the Fins overtime win against the Jets last week sitting in a box next to the owners box- great seats but some weird people - which we will not comment on further. The Fins came out strong and then had an inexplicable let down in quarters 2 and 3 before getting back on track in Q4 and then OT when coach McDaniels went for the win.  Your Miami Dolphins are getting 2.5 in Houston. Tua is outplaying CJ Stroud and we narrowly missed our Archane rushing bet last week.  But not deterred, we are going back to the well- Archane over 46.5 yards rushing and over 46 for the score between the two teams. We worry that 2.5 is a bit light. The Fins on the road should be getting 4.  Tua is over 267.5 yards. Last week he needed OT to break his total of 270, so stay away from that, or consider the under. 

J..E...T....S at Jax. We like the over 41. 

Ok here are the two big games. 

Steelers at Philly. Take the over 43. Steelers will have to shut down Philly RB (and in our opinion league MVP) Barkley and they can only do that by bringing up safeties to stop the run, which opens up the passing game. If you can get a play on Steeler TE Washington getting over 1.5 receptions and 10 yards grab it. Ever since Russell Wilson became the starter, he has consistently targeted Washington 3-5 times a game and we have made a tidy sum on those bets. Hard to pick the Steelers to win with their WR George Pickens out, but +5;5 for Russell Wilson to keep it close and maybe a backdoor cover or win in the 4Th quarter with a late TD sounds nice.  One thing for sure is that we sure would really enjoy a Pats Cheesesteak while sipping an Iron City Beer while watching the game. Fun fact: Last time the Steelers won in Philly was 1965 at Franklin Field. Maybe they are due.  

The Bills are looking shaky. The Lions are looking like a SB team. What we like a lot is under 54.5. Look for both teams to try and slow the game down and establish the run. Since the Lions have two quality RBs, we like them to win and will lay the -2.5 over a Bills team that suddenly looks like the 3rd o4 4th best team in the AFC instead of the first or second. We just got a whole Melinda's Hot sauce sampler courtesy of a satisfied client. Some Buffalo wings while trying out the various sauces sounds like a great way to enjoy the game. 

Two Monday night games are set- which is perfect for Pizza-Meatless- Monday. We will make those picks tomorrow.