NFL WEEK TWO

 Bad start  week one for 2024 and it only got worse when we took a massive beat down on the Fins Thursday night game. Only bet we won was that no Dolphin would be cuffed by a cop before the game. And we had to lay 250 to win 100 on that on Draftkings. 

We recouped our losses yesterday, but that was only because we were with College sharpies who guided up. Bama- check. Plus the over. Tennessee giving 49? No prob- the score was 71-0. Plus some parlays with Texas and Nebraska. 

Today is tough pickings. 

Only game we have put down money on is Texans at home -6.5 over the Bears. 

If you must- Steelers/Broncos under 32. Another Mike Tomlin 17-7 type of game shaping up, but we'd feel better teasing that to under 38...which actually isn't a bad idea!

Jets- Titans- two 0-1 teams facing off. We like the Titans. The Jets are shaping up for another Jets season, so take another home dog +3.5 - we like the Titans and over 41 doesn't seem bad. 

Falcons at Eagles. Falcons aren't good.  a mediocre Steeler team beat them at home. Eagles are looking good. Lay the 6 and take the over 46.5. 

Our "you're on the clock for the first pick in the 2025 draft" pick- Your NY Giants are just awful. The wheels are off the bus and it's only week one. They draft a top WR and have no one who can throw him the ball.  Giants losing to rookie QB in DC +1.5 just feels right. Commanders -1.5 for their first win of the season and their rookie QB's first win.  And that makes the NY Giants our first candidate for the #1 draft pick in the 2025 draft- which works because there are several good QBs coming out. 

Again- we are only risking Rumpole money on the Texans (maybe under Steelers/ Broncos teased to under 38.5)- the other picks are only if you must.

Rumpole Rant: 

Number of women who have accused Browns QB os sexual assault: 27.

Number of games Brown QB has started for team since they guaranteed him 230 million: 13. 

Karma. 

This isn't cancel culture. The Browns are free to employ a man who is most likely a rapist and settled dozens of lawsuits with women who accused him of sexual assault. We just would never root for such a team and would advocate boycotting them- much like when the Vikings overlooked that their star running back Adrian Peterson beat his children with sticks.  

Now here's what happens when we do this.  Trolls come out and say "what about player X who is on ___ team- why don't you boycott them?" And our response is failure to act on every wrong at every moment doesn't make the current wrong excusable. We might well want to boycott a team that employs another player who is a rapist. What we do know now is the Browns willingly traded for their Qb and willingly gave him 230 million dollars fully knowing the man they were employing had been accused of rape over and over.  The current accusation that arose this week is heinous and vile,

You get what you pay for. 

Shame on them. Don't watch the Browns until they cut him. That's what we say. We won't - and we won't bet on them or discuss them in the future. As Shark Tank Star Kevin O'leary likes to say: They are dead to us. 

JAMES EARL JONES

 He was simply the greatest actor of his generation. He was born to play Othello, which he did on Broadway. And then decades later he gave what we consider to be THE GREATEST speech in the history of the movies. We cannot watch this without feeling goosebumps every time. 

He died on Monday at age 93. But we will have this forever and forever. 

And with this speech he forever placed his imprimatur on the game of baseball- for this is baseball and this love of the game is something he communicated as only he could. Man meeting the moment? This man met this role and gave the performance and speech of his life and for the ages. 

JUDGE MORENO WAS RIGHT

UPDATE: As per MDPD he wasn't thrown to the ground, he was "redirected" to the ground. Oh. That makes a difference. It's bullshit cop Orwellian speak for they grabbed this black guy from his expensive car and threw his ass to the ground because he had the temerity to speak up.  

A relevant portion of the body cam footage is below. 

Way back in 1987, star Dolphin wide receiver Mark Duper missed a county court criminal traffic case court hearing necessitating a relatively new county court judge to have to issue a bench warrant for one of the most popular Miami athletes of the day. 

Demonstrating his ability to both adhere to the law while recognizing the impact of his decision, Judge Federico Moreno, who would later be elevated to circuit court, the federal bench and nominated to the eleventh circuit by president George Herbert Walker Bush (the nomination stalling when Bush lost his reelection bid) wrote on the bench warrant (judges wrote on paper back then)

DO NOT ARREST ON SUNDAYS

 Wise words which the Miami Dade Police Department should have adhered to this past Sunday when they threw Dolphin star wide receiver Tyreek Hill to the ground and cuffed him over a traffic stop. 

ARE YOU READY FOR SOME FOOTBALL? NFL WEEK ONE 2024

UPDATE SURVIVOR POOL BELOW (Bengals lost- it's not pretty) 

This is our favourite time of the year. The baseball division races are heating up. The US Open's finals are being played. In the northeast there is a hint of fall in the air. And the NFL is back and we are ready for football. 

If you have followed our picks over the years (and if you have you can thank us for that new 911 Turbo you're driving) then you know we are big on identifying early season trends before the rest of the world catches up. 

Our trends- the team that starts the hottest until it cools off in January is our own Miami Dolphins. So we are on them big early, starting with Miami over Jax Sunday 3.5. Ride those Dolphins as they jump out to an 8-2 start and make Miamians think of a super bowl and Bourbon street this  year.....until mid-January rolls around. 

The Panthers will be bad, but if you can get +7 in a game, consider it. The Texans will be good, but the line will be too high and they won't cover much. Ditto Jets. The Bills took a step back, so avoid them in knock-out pools and take points against them (but probably not this weekend as we do not like the Cardinals at all but 8 seems too high for the Bills to cover so just leave the game alone.) 

Want a team to watch? The DC Commanders. Also the Raiders- bad defense but Gardner Minchew is a more than a decent QB and he has weapons. 

People are down on the Chargers. We are not. They got a beast rookie O lineman, a good rookie WR in Ladd McConkey and Herbert can sling it. They will give KC a run for their money in the division. 

It is going to be a great year. 

Todays picks: 

Best Bet: Fins at home - 3.5 over Jags;  we did a nice parlay over 49 and Fins -3.5 $75 pays 247.50 on DraftKings which you cannot use if you're not in the beautiful northeast today (but try the Hardrock app which allows bets in Fla). 

Home Dog? We love Home Dogs. We have a vacation home paid for by home dogs. Giants +1.5 over Vikes. 

Game of the Day: The 4pm Cowpokes at the Brownies. Cleveland has a real strong team on paper except for ....that small position called the QB. The Cowboys are one of the two summer soldiers that perform well in September and October before breaking their fans' hearts (the other being our Fins). So Ride Dak showing Jerry why he deserves that new contract and bet against the worst trade and signing in recent memory-the Browns trade for Deshaun Watson. Cowboys + 2.5 at the mistake by the lake. 

We l...o...v..e.. the over 41 here, and again you can parlay it with the Cowboys getting 3.5. 

Raiders at Chargers. Over 40 is a great bet. We parlayed it with the over 41 Cowboys game AND did a sweet three way parlay with the Fins over 49 for 25 bucks because that will keep us in Pizza and hard seltzer until the end of the season. 

Fantasy Football dig....Oh they laughed at us when we reached waayyyy down the draft board to nab Xavier Worthy, WR Chiefs. But our specialty is picking rookies who tear it up. We did it when Mahomes started after sitting a year; we drafted Saquon when he was a rookie and then never touched him, and now we did it with X. Fastest WR in the league and he has Mahomes throwing to him??? This isn't hard folks. Two TDs in his first game; a TD the first time he touched the ball. Laugh all you want. 

Survivor Pool 2024 by Anonymous PbHV4H on Scribd

DOMESTIC VIOLENCE AND SELF DEFENSE

One of the great legal tragedies over the last fifty years was the dark underside of domestic violence- women who kill their spouses in self-defense. Not surprisingly, the same legal system that for decades dismissed battery and aggravated battery charges when the defense attorney would simply tell the court the defendant and victim were married and the judge would dismiss the case(ask those of who were around in the 70s and 80s if this did not occur all the time in the REGJB), prosecuted women who fought back and killed their significant other in self-defense. 

It is just another short failing of a legal system we delude ourselves in being the best in the world (far from it IOHO).

This NY Times article about that issue is well worth a read, especially for those DeSantis drones who turn a blind eye to doing the right thing by just calling balls and strikes and telling lawyers that the legislature makes the laws and judges just interpret them. 

Check it out between NFL games this weekend. 

Not to diminish the seriousness of this post, we have some early betting advice. 

Chiefs/Ravens over 47 (but the rain has us a bit hesitant although we have placed the bet) parlayed with under 49.5 in the Eagles/ Packers game in San Paolo Brazil where crime is so rampant that the NFL basically told the teams to not let the players leave the hotels lest they be robbed and shot. 

We kinda sorta like Ravens +3 in KC as a revenge game, but not enough to put more than a fin on it. 

(UN) HAPPY HOUR

 

UPDATE WE HAVE TWO SPOTS OPEN IN OUR REGJB FANTASY FOOTBALL LEAGUE 

SEND US AN EMAIL THAT YOU WANT IN- DRAFT IS TUESDAY NIGHT 8PM (pretty sure about that but we once missed one so we are double checking )  AND WE WILL FORWARD IT TO OUR SECRET LEAGUE COMMISONER WHO IS KNOWN IN HIS/HER REGULAR LIFE AS "THE HAMMER" SO DON'T MESS AROUND IN THIS LEAGUE

HARRY POTTER UPDATE 

Every year on September 1, crowds gather at the Kings Cross railway station for the 9 am announcement for the Hogwarts Express departing at track 9 3/4. Reason 1,234 why London is better than Miami. 

We are not sure this lineup would make anyone happy. Thank goodness they are serving alcohol. 

And remember to sign up for the world famous REGJB Survivor League. It is legendary. 

FBpool12@gmail.com send and email that you want to compete. Fake Alex Michaels has some choice words for you if you're in the league. 

Enjoy your holiday weekend.