NFL WEEK FIVE 2021

BREAKING NEWS: Former Judge Mike Mirabal, who resigned in disgrace facing a massive bar/JQC investigation, was arrested Sunday evening, for aggravated assault with a firearm in a dispute with a tenant. Case number F21-017688. This is a developing story. 

 The big story last week was the FG total in the MNF game. If you could pick the total, you won an advantage in the survivor pool that saw six people crash out for choosing a losing team. Our players, many of them legal savants, used sophisticated computer analysis, historical outcomes, intuition, pulling numbers out of a hat, and yet NO ONE picked ZERO as the number of made field goals in the game. No one won an advantage of being able to use a team they had previously picked, and 15 survivors march on. This week's most popular pick is the Vikings over the hapless Lions. 

This is a tough week picks wise. Nothing much jumps out at us. Soooo.....Time for teasers! A teaser allows us to move the line. If we choose a seven point teaser, we need to  lay 140 to win 100. So for example the Tampa Bradys are 10.5 favourites over our Fins. Tease that down to -3.5 and take the Bradys or tease it up to 17.5 and take the Fins and give your guy 140 to win 100. It's seems so easy, and yet they are sucker bets. But we feel like a lollipop today so why not? 

Packers at Bengals. The over is 49.5. Tease that down to 42.5 and take the over for some Cincy Queens chili. (WIN/loss without the teaser).

Cheaters at Texans. Evil Genius vs. a rookie QB.  Cheaters are favored by -9. Tease that to -2 and take the bad man from New England's team.  (WIN/loss without the teaser).

Here's our big one. Colts +7 at Ravens. Colts played well above their abilities against a Miami football team having a bad week last week. Tease the line to even and tease the over 46 to 39 and take the Ravens at home over 39- in  this scenario we need to win both the line and the game to collect from 52nd  Street Irving's (RIP old buddy) successor- Brooklyn Billy.  

Want to know the ridiculous problems with sports betting in the US? Read this NY Times story. On-line sports betting is legal in the Garden State- New Jersey. It is illegal in New York. So the solution for denizens of Manhattan is to ride their bike or jog partially over the George Washington Bridge until their phone pings they are in New Jersey (about a mile and a half from the NY side) at which point they can bet. Imagine how much revenue NY is losing while the state, which approved on line sports betting, dithers over who to chose to take their citizen's bets- which keeps Brooklyn Billy in business for a little while longer. 

In London, where as we write this the hapless Jets are getting beat by the Falcons, any Punter* can walk outside any pub after getting an British Fry-up breakfast and into any bookie and make a bet, and somehow England has managed to survive for hundreds of years without society collapsing in a heap of sin. 

SURVIVOR POOL COMING SHORTLY

week 5 by HR on Scribd

* British slang for a bettor. 

Coming Monday. Rolling Stone has the top 100 rock and roll songs of all time. Boy did they get it wrong. We will correct them.