Breaking: Dolphins lose....more on this as it becomes available.
Today CK confidently pick the Ravens to beat the visiting Cardinals while Feiler rolls with the 49ers over the Browns.
In our view Feiler has the rougher road to hoe today. Good luck to both players.
Take the under 51 if you can still get it in the Steeler/cheater and Cowboy/Eagle match-ups; take the under 42 in the Miami/Giants game in New Jersey today. The weather should be a factor in all three games.
We like the Browns +10 in San Fran today.
We'd also like it to stop raining in Miami before the end of the year.
See You In Court tomorrow. Enjoy your Sunday.
26 comments:
Is there any empirical evidence that the weather affects the amount of points scored in a game? I have been a casual bettor since the mid-70s. The gospel has always been that rain/snow/cold = low scores. But it is nothing but a hunch. Does anyone have any evidence to back this up?
I see from reading comments over the weekend that I'm gaining some fans. I could care less.
So fatsos, here's the first of your gorging year end food orgies. Your first reason to eat to excess and feel you have a justifiable excuse. Of course your body doesn't recognize any excuse. But go ahead and have that sixth Three Musketeer Bar (not to mention the pound of MMS you probably sucked down) if you don't eat it you'll just have to give it to some snotty nosed kid dressed as a ghost with some old stained sheet over his head with a few holes cut out.
The good news for you guys is that with Halloween falling on Monday, you've been able to stuff yourself with candy since Friday night.
So lets talk about dating protocol for a quick moment. If you ask someone out for a first date and she is gracious enough to accept, and you say you will be there at 7:30 PM for dinner reservations at 8pm, do not be surprised when the person at the gate tells you that you are not being admitted to the grounds of my condo when you pull up at 8:15 without calling first. Because you have a car phone right? Try using it.
I'm not sure about empirical data on weather. What you have to understand is how bookies operate and how the market is set. Lets say as a bookie you post the Denver Detroit game and believe that all things being equal that the Lions should win by 15 points. But lets say you're a bookie in north Florida. And all the Tim Teebow fans come out and start betting on Denver. Your goal is to get an equal amount bet on each team. say 10,000 on Detroit and 10K on Denver. Because since you get 10% from the losing bet, with the bet sizes equaled, you are guaranteed to win $1,000.00.
Today the setting of lines is a bit more complicated. Some books I know would actually take the risk on a game like this and adjust the lines in a manner to essentially make them backers of Detroit but at more favorable odds- say lions -7. In their view, they would take the risk over time and foresake the sure thing.
Getting back to weather- the issue is not whether weather affects a game. The issue is whether is affects THE LINE. That's what you need to look at and make your decision accordingly.
Then you should take the over. If weather does not affect the number of points scored but only the perception that it does among the betting public, the logical move is to bet over. For example, all things being equal, the over/under should be 41. But because it is snowing, the betting public will push the number to, say, 38. But the public's assumption is wrong: weather does not affect points scored. Therefore, you, the more knowledgeable bettor, know this is not true and will take the over at 38 when you know it really should be 41. You have basically secured yourself 3 free points. No matter how you look at it, betting or life in general, sooner or later reality hits you in the face.
Cowboys game is over/under at 48 1/2. Nowhere near the 51.
So how do you feel about Marco Rubio .....
Repeat after me, GOP: "Marco Rubio will not be our savior with Latinos in the 2012 election."
Check out CNN Op Ed at:
http://articles.cnn.com/
2011-10-28/opinion/opinion_
cardona-rubio-latinos_1_latino-vote-latinos-support-latino-citizens?_s=PM:OPINION
Cap Out ....
and, from the New York Times:
Falling Crime, Teeming Prisons
"The United States has 5 percent of the world’s population, yet 25 percent of the world’s prisoners. In the past generation, the imprisonment rate per capita in this country has multiplied by five. There are 2.3 million Americans in prisons and jails. Spending on prisons has reached $77billion a year. "
http://www.nytimes.com/2011/
10/30/opinion/sunday/
falling-crime-teeming-
prisons.html?_r=1&nl=todaysheadlines
&emc=tha211
Car phone?
"Because you have a car phone right?"
Angry Gurl just gave himself away as an attorney who was practicing in the mid 1980s. Awesome.
phone in the car. Same difference. Dorks.
It was probably Kenny W. He has the balls to date angry gurl on Halloween and show up late. He was probably taking her to Devitos Italian steak. He's the big macha there anyway along with Jimmy Doyle and they can show up whenever he wants.
Dolphins went under Rumpy. Thanks for the tip. Took it. Now need the Dalllas eagle under to come in.
5:37- Nice try. Your words are clear as day Because you have a car phone right?
--Why not say Cell Phone? Nooobody says car phone anymore.
Angury Dude-- I mean ahem Gurl so tell me-- do you still keep a rubik's cube on your desk and view movies on VHS?
I recorded last night's episode of Dallas on my new Hitachi VCR- it comes with a wireless remote. What will they think of next!
Please no one tell me who shot J.R.
What criminal defense practitioner, secret blogger and aspiring judge has the reverse initials of Horace Rumpole?
Who doesn't have a car phone? Only fat people. I ate a raisin and then purged. Also took three extra strength laxatives for a Halloween treat.
I just ate my first McRib of the season. It was glorious.
I'm deciding if I should get a second one to take home and eat at about midnight.
Why does the use of the term "car phone" mean AG is a guy? I often call my phone "car phone" because I have a built in phone in my car different from my hand held PDA. But even so, why does using an older term mean AG is a guy? I don't get that. I think she is a girl but not an angry one and not one who lives the life she recounts. I think that is fake.
Steelers pats went under as well Rumpola. Thanks again. Now I need the 8pm game to go under and rumpy and I are 3 for 3. Need the dough.
I have a question for angury gurl? Will you ever run for judge?
I actually liked the Dolphins today. And in the spirit of honesty, although it looks like a bad pick, I liked the Cowboys tonight. And the Eagles have never lost coming off a bye week in the Andy Reid era. But as I have said before, I don't think they are that good and I think the Cowboys are pretty decent. But Romo looks like crap tonight.
For what it's worth, I think Angry Gurl is real. But I really have no way of knowing.
Went to 2 guys cigar shoppe. great spread for the dolphins game. Nice selection of cigars at a decent price. Enjoyed a nice Churchill maduro recommended by one of the Guys and watched a very close game. Can't think of a better way to spend a sunday that does not involve a naked blonde.
The emperor has no clothes and little timmy Teebow has no game.
Smoke is produced by incomplete combustion of tobacco during which at least three kinds of chemical reactions occur: pyrolysis breaks down organic molecules into simpler ones, pyrosynthesis recombines these newly formed fragments into chemicals not originally present, and distillation moves compounds such as nicotine from the tobacco into the smoke. For every gram of tobacco smoked, a cigar emits about 120–140 mg of carbon dioxide, 40–60 mg of carbon monoxide, 3–4 mg of isoprene, 1 mg each of hydrogen cyanide and acetaldehyde, and smaller quantities of a large spectrum of volatile N-nitrosamines and volatile organic compounds, with the detailed composition unknown.[29]
The most odorous chemicals in cigar smoke, and arguably the most responsible for the odor, are pyridines. Along with pyrazines, they are also the most odorous chemicals in cigar smoker's breath. These substances are noticeable even at extremely low concentrations of a few parts per billion. During smoking, it is not known whether these chemicals are generated by splitting the chemical bonds of nicotine, or by Maillard reaction between amino acids and sugars in the tobacco.[30]
Cigar smoke is more alkaline than cigarette smoke, and therefore dissolves and is absorbed more readily by the mucous membrane of the mouth, making it easier for the smoker to absorb nicotine without having to inhale.[31]
Gurl=Turd?
Kenny's biggest juice is at Prime Italian. He may know someone at Devito's but the food isn't worth his time, trust me.
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