Sunday, October 18, 2009
NFL 2009 WEEK 6
UPDATE. Titanic edition.
Well today has been an unmitigated disaster. Now I know how Jeff Fisher coach of the Titans feels (the last I checked the Titans were losing to the Cheaters 59-0 in a blizzard.)
The only thing to do is press forward and put 1500 Matt Ryans on the Atlanta Falcons -3.5 for the 8pm game. )
SUICIDE POOL DOWN TO FOUR
On any given Sunday any team in the NFL can beat any other team (excluding apparently the Redskins) and so Miguel De La Over and Michael Feiler exit our suicide pool with ill timed selections of the Eagles over the Raiders. David Marcus should have followed his instincts and picked the Raiders because the Jets just fell to the Bills and the leg of Rian Lindell. Marcus and the Public Pretender are out and we head to week seven with four left: Rick Freedman, Daniel Tibbitt (he sent an email at 10:24 am picking the Steelers today and we neglected to include him in the picks but he sent the email timely), Peter Sautter (who picked the Steelers with an email at 10:56 am today and I also neglected to include him but his pick was timely) and Memon.
Two winning weeks in a row and we're ready to go. The Fins got us here, so why not continue to ride them? All our money on the Dolphins not losing today! (Woops, off week for Miami.)
Giants at Saints. The game of the day. Two undefeated teams. The Saints are giving 3 at home. The Giants have a terrific Defense, and the numbers show that over the years the Saints are way below 500 coming off a bye week. Also Saints QB Brees has nine TDs this year- but how many has he thrown in the last two weeks? Zero. The same number of guilty verdicts as we've had in our four trials this year.
Brees has semi-inflated numbers from his 6 TD performance in week one over the hapless Lions. Assume for a second Brees threw an average two TDs in week one- then he would have five in four games- pretty average numbers. And Brees was still shut out the last two weeks- including two weeks ago against Buffalo of all teams. The Giants are not Buffalo and are not the team to make any QB healthy.
Giants +3 +500.
Arizona at Seattle: The Seahawks are a totally different team with Matt Hasslebeck at QB. How different? In three games Senaca Wallace had a QB rating of 82.5 with three TDs and two ints. Hasselbeck in two games has thrown 7 TDs, 2 ints, with a QB rating of 103. The Cardinals haven't won on the road this year and Warner is having a very mediocre year ( 6TDs, 4 ints, 89 QB rating).
The Seahawks are -3 at home and we like the number. Seattle -3 +750.
Sunday Night: The Bears play in Hot-lanta and we like the Falcons here -3.5 big. How big? Lets see what we do in the Giants game. We'll post something before 8pm.
Monday Night: The Broncos go to San Diego where the disappointing Chargers take on the surprising Broncos. The Chargers are led (as we often remind you) by one of the worst coaches in the league: Norv "will never ever win a Super Bowl" Turner. But are the Broncos for real? It's one thing to nip a weakened Cheaters team at home, but quite another to take on the Chargers at home where their considerable offensive firepower usually is displayed (overlooking the Ravens game earlier this year.)
We like the Chargers -3.5 because we like QB Rivers much more than Denver's Chicago castoff Kyle Orton. What Orton does well is manage a game. He won't win it for you very often, but he won't lose it for you either. While Bronco D-Coordinator (and last year head coach of the 49'ers) Mike Nolan has done an outstanding job with the Orange Crush defense this year (and we love rollin with Nolan) what this year has shown us is that for the most part a good offense can overcome a good defense. That means we expect a shootout in San Diego and we like Rivers in that type of game. Check back Monday for just how much we like Rivers in this one.
Michael Feiler -Eagles; Public Pretender- J..E...T...S.; David Marcus -Jets (reluctantly, he informs us); Miguel De La Over- Eagles; Rick Freedman- Steelers; Iftikhar Memon (boy this name annoys us) Cheaters.
COLD FRONT COMING TONIGHT! Currently its a very pleasant 62 degrees, heading to a high of about 75. It was 62 at 6am today as we ran over the Key Biscayne bridge in the dark and then headed down to Baggs state park before turning around and loping back to our bike on the other side of the bridge before pedaling to Starbucks, and then home. Can't think of a better way to start off a Sunday.