UPDATE: We pushed our Cheaters bet (just as well, who really wants money won on
Cheaters?) and lost our Buffalo bet (memo to Bills- you lost AT HOME to the BROWNS, time to consider bocci) so we're down 550 Manginis for the week. Not to worry, the Fins will bail us out. The new line is Fins +2, (you can get 2 1/2 if you look) so we're going to press our pick and say Dolphins + 2, +1000 Ronnie Browns. (Did ya know the Dolphins turned down a Braylon Edwards for Ronnie Brown trade this week?)
The suicide pool bids a fond farewell to Dan Lurvey who took our advice and went out in flames on the Bills. Sorry Dan.
It's week 5 in the NFL, we're on a roll, the Fins play Monday night and Monday is a holiday! What could be better? (A Springsteen concert in NJ, but we already wrote about that yesterday.)
The Cheaters go to Denver to play the Broncos in a game that may feature some snow before it's over. Longtime and careful readers of the blog know our outright hatred of the evil genius, his pretty boy QB, and that entire cheating mess of chowder eating bean heads from Bahstan.
That being said, the Pats are three point road dogs in Denver, and emotions must fall way to money. We're not convinced the Broncos are for real yet, and the Pats are decent (geeze it hurts to say that.)
Take the Cheaters -3 200. Watch the weather carefully. The O/U was at 44 and is down to 42 but if the forecast calls for lots if snow and you can catch an unsuspecting line maker at 42, grab it. UPDATE- the snow will miss Denver so under is not a play here. The Broncos are "rollin with Nolan" - Mike Nolan is their new Defensive coordinator and their defense has been outstanding this year. Today will be a big test.
J...E....T....S......come to town for some Monday night football.
Rex Ryan has built himself quite a defense in NY very quickly. Ryan always was a great defensive coach, and it's no surprise he has gang green playing tough. But we think the J...E...T...S are playing above themselves, while, as we mentioned in pre-season, the Fins record would not match their abilities. The Fins are better than 1-3; the J...E...T...S are not as good as 3-1 and we like the Fins here with the game being even.
The Fins are the only team to consistently make the wildcat formation work. Coach Bill Cowher last year opined that the way to beat the wildcat was to blitz it. Music to coach Ryan's ears. How will the Fins respond? This will be a great part of the game within the game.
Also to consider is that J...E....T....S.... QB is starting his twentieth football game at the college or pro level. Meanwhile Fin QB Chad Henne is starting his 42 (40 at Michigan, give or take a few). Plus Henne has the benefit of watching a full NFL season as a backup. Henne has the stronger arm, and the Fins D is just as good as the Jets D. So the Dolphins win the QB matchup, they have the dominant running game, and they are just the better team.
Dolphins even +500.
The worst team in the NFL with the worst coach in the NFL (the Browns and Mangini) go to Buffalo where the Bills, while hurting, get their premier runner Lynch back from a four game suspension. The Bills are a 6 point favorite and their coach is in some hot water. The difference in this game is coaching and coaches.
Coaching- Mangini is the worst in the NFL.
Coaches- Bills coach Dick Jauron is widely respected by his players who want to win for him. Mangini is widely loathed by his players who can't wait to see him fail ( levying $1,000.00 fines on players for carrying a bottle of water into a team meeting will do that.)
Bills -6 +500.00
HAPPY 40TH Birthday Brett Favre.