Welcome to Super Bowl Sunday!
As we wrote in our last post, we will not be watching the game. But we have some sights for you.
First, don't under estimate the importance of good coaching. Bad coaching can cause errors that can turn the game around. See the video below as to what happens when you have bad coaching:
Now on to the game.
Right now, the best coach in the playoffs was one of the worst head coaches in the last ten years: Denver's defensive coordinator Wade Phillips. While Denver got lucky that a third string running back fumbled in their first playoff game, their defense was superb against the New England Cheaters.
We will take a good defense almost any year in a super bowl game. The hesitation is that the Broncos couldn't stop an injured Ben Roethlisberger, and but for that fumble, they probably wouldn't have won the game. And Panthers QB Newton is a bigger, younger, faster Roethliberger. BUT....Roethlisberger performed poorly in his first super bowl experience, winning because of a good defense, a great running game, and a trick play (WR Randle El throwing a TD pass to WR MVP Hines Ward).
We will take the experience of Denver's D over the Panthers and Cam Newton. When they were routed in the Super Bowl two years ago, Broncos GM John Elway, who knows a thing or two about losing and winning super bowls, went about building a defense to carry Peyton Manning to one last super bowl. It's worked so far.
The smart money:
Our Man 52nd Street Irwin has been monitoring the money flow in Vegas all week. He sets the line for a series of smaller sports books in Nevada. And all week the books were searching for Denver money as the Panther money flowed, starting at Carolina -3 5. By the time it got to Carolina -6 the Denver money showed up, big time, by the pros.
Our Pick: Our head still says Carolina, but we would like to see Manning win one for the Gipper and go out a winner. If we were betting this game, and we are not, we would eschew the spread and take take the money line Denver + a juicy 195. Lay a hundred and get almost 2-1 on Peyton Manning in a super bowl. We'll do that all the time.
Tails for the coin flip.
Take Adventure Of a Lifetime as the first song ColdPlay plays during halftime. Odds are 2-1.
BTW there has NEVER been a punt returned for a TD in 50 super bowls. In general it's 20-1 for a punt to be returned for a TD, so it's pretty long odds against it never occurring in 50 games, so put us down for a punt returned for a TD in this one.
JUSTICE BUILDING PROPS.
A proposition bet is a fun bet, like will Kobe Bryant score more than the total in the game?, etc. So we've put together some REGJB themed prop bets:
Double the final score OR the sum of Judges De La O and Glick's calendar pages on Monday. (Lets say the final score it 27-20, that number is 94 or the total of the two judges' calendar pages on Monday).
The final Nielson rating for the game versus the total number of pages of Judge Ward's calendar?
Total points scored in first half versus the total number of pages of Judge De la O's calendar or Judge Richard Hersch's calendar (Pick one)?
Which will be the higher number? The longest field goal made in the game or the total number of pages of Judge Murphy's calendar?
Which will be the higher number? The total number of yards rushed by the Panthers, or the total number of calendar pages of the sum of Judges De la O, Murphy, and Glick?
Which will be the highest number? The total number of receiving yards of Emmanuel Sanders and Demaryius Thomas, or the total calendar pages of Judges De la O, Murphy, Glick, Tinkler-Mendez, and Richard Hersch?
Longest touchdown scored from scrimmage or the total number of calendar pages of Judges Hersch and Hirsch?
What will be higher? Total percentage of the vote Donald Trump gets in the New Hampshire Primary, the number of points scored by Carolina, or the number of pages of judge Milt Hirsch's calendar on Monday?
Have fun and if you are watching the game, enjoy it and let us know who wins. We'll be attending a lecture at the Met later this morning entitled "When Belief Meets Art." And if you've never seen "The Curious Incident of the Dog At Night" (and most of you haven't) you're missing Broadway at its most ingenious and finest.
See You In Court.
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