Colts -5.5 over the visiting Patriots. We said at the start of the season that the Colts would not win their division, and they won't. But there is still plenty in the tank to beat the visiting patsies minus pretty boy Brady. Colts -5.5 +100. (update- gonna double this to 200 because Fins surprised me. Actually, Denver surprised me. They're really bad.)
Texans at Minnesota. A matchup of states that McCain only wins one of. (That sentence is the reason why you should never end a sentence with a preposition. It just stinks.) The Texans are riding a three game streak while the Vikes lost a shootout to da Bears last week. Things even out as the Vikes beat the Texans. Vikes -4.5 +100.
The Fins pulled our butt out of the fire last week, and we wish we could return the favor, but we can't. The Bronocs are coming off a bye week and the Fins travel to Mile High for the type of game they need to win to become contenders. They can smack down an overrated Bills team at home, but they just don't have the talent to win these types of road games consistently. Denver coming off a loss to the Patsies while the Fins coming off a win over the Bills. Regression to the average rears its ugly head at the expense of our Fins. Broncos -3 +200.
Sara Palin Prank Phone Call. Our wannabe VP fooled by a couple of Canadian Radio Hosts. If McCain wins (not likely, see below) Canada might just trick Palin into giving them Michigan.
McCain likes to brag that he is endorsed by "four former Secretaries of State." But here's former Sec of State Lawrence Eagleberger giving an interview in which he says "Of course Palin is not ready to be President." Eagelberger worked for the the first (and best) President Bush.
Early Election Prediction:
McCain loses in a runaway. We'll post our final figures Tuesday morning, calling individual states as well. Right now, before we review final polls, we feel comfortable predicting
From the best polling website there is: fivethirtyeight dot com.
We can probably assume, however, that IF the national polls tighten significantly (and to reiterate, the likelihood is that they will NOT), McCain will edge out a victory in North Carolina, Florida, Indiana, North Dakota, Montana, Georgia, and Missouri; put those states in the McCain column for the time being. Likewise, New Mexico, New Hampshire, Minnesota, Michigan, Wisconsin and Iowa all appear safe for Obama, even in the case of significant tightening. Put those in the Obama column.
That leaves our five states in play. The victory conditions for Obama involving these five states proceed something as follows:
1. Win Pennsylvania and ANY ONE of Colorado, Virginia, Ohio, or Nevada*
2. Win Ohio and EITHER Colorado OR Virginia.
3. Win Colorado AND Virginia AND Nevada.
(* Nevada produces a 269-269 tie, which would probably be resolved for Obama in the House of Represenatives.)
Now, suppose you think that Colorado is already in the bag for Obama because of his large edge in early voting there. We can then simplify the victory conditions as follows:
1. Win Pennsylvania
2. Win Ohio
3. Win Virginia AND Nevada
That's basically what it comes down to, although I'm sure each campaign would claim that there are a larger number of states in play.