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Sunday, December 16, 2007

WEEK FOURTEEN

The weather plays a significant factor in games today. It is not enough to just pick any game in the northeast and play the under. If you are serious about this and you are considering for instance the under in the Jets/Cheaters game, you should call someone in Beantown and see exactly what is going on.
In the Buffalo/Cleveland game, played in Cleveland today, the opening over/under line of 47 dropped ten points to 37 because of the weather. At last check, there was still a 100% forecast for snow this afternoon along with increasing winds. However, if there is a break in the front during the game, the over would be a sweet play.


Ravens at Miami. Call us a sucker, but as the season winds on we just can’t let go of the Dolphins and their futile attempt to just win one for the Shula. The Dolphins are 4 point home underdogs, and as we saw last week, the Fins are a different team lead by a Lemon. The Ravens have shown that they can play with the best team in the league, when they had the game one twice in the fourth quarter, only to have the Cheaters get three chances on fourth down (one naturally, on a Cheaters penalty) before the Cheaters finally converted and went on to win the game. No call here, but the Fins are competitive. Is that winning by two or losing by five? No idea.

The Cheaters are 22-24 point favorites against the Jets. This game has a lot of undercurrents. The weather should keep the scoring down which means take the Jets. Mangini, the coach of the Jets, left the Cheaters without the blessing of the dark prince Belichick. And of course, after the first game of the season Mangini dropped a dime on his former boss and cost him a half million bucks and a first round draft pick. Belichick has lots of reasons to run up the score here. Yet the weather and the desire to keep his players healthy may keep the margin of victory around 17 or so.

UPDATE: Based on the weather, we like the Jets +22 or even +20, and the under 50. We like those plays based on the weather, a lot.


The Colts roll into Oakland. The Colts need to keep winning and hold on to the second seed and first round bye. Oakland has shown signs of strength recently, and the Colts by 10 looks good.


The Lions visit San Diego, and again while we like the Charger -10.5 at him as they try and keep their playoff hopes alive, over 46 is the better play.

Green Bay Packers
go to St. Louis, and play in doors. Favre historically plays much better outside, but he is having one of his best seasons ever this year. The Pack was one of the early trends we completely missed. We like the Pack – 8.5, and as is the theme today, we really like the over 45.5.

Seahawks at Carolina. The Seahawks have been quiet winners of their past five games, as Mike Holmgren prepares his team for another playoff run. The Hawks’ margin of victory on the road is around 5 or six, so seven points is a bit much here. But Carolina is having a disastrous season.

So….with the full understanding that our bookie has a bigger boat than we do because of teasers, and because we are 0-1 on our only teaser this season, we offer this sucker bet:

Remember you bet 110 units to win 100 on a teaser and each team gets an extra six points. Our teaser for today is : Seahawks -1 and Colts -4.5 Good luck.

15 comments:

Making Christmas Magic said...

Would this be the clip Mcgillis wants taken down?

http://www.elfyourself.com/?id=1358194239

Darn its re-posted again. Oh well.

Shumie's Dog said...

Grrrr arf arf over arf in Dolphins game. Grrr under grrr in steelers game grrr Steelers -3.5. Grrrr Vikings over grrr arrf da Bears. Ruff ruff Jets +22 grrr Packers -8.5 ruff ruff Bills +5 over Cleveland. Ruff arf Colts -10.5 over the Raiders. Grrr Lions +10.5 against the ruff ruff Chargers. Arf arf Seahawks -7 over Panthers. Grrr ruff ruff best Shumie Dog bet of the grrr day: Giants -4 over the grrr Redskins. Arf arf arf!

Anonymous said...

I hope the Dolphins keep their imperfect season intact.

fake alschuler said...

They call the Dolphins BUTTER because man they are on a roll.
13-13 and Dolphins driving.....

Anonymous said...

Rump- that elf clip link is all over the web on about two dozen local blogs and on several comments to unrelated Herald stories on the Herald website. I have seen it on comments on newpaper sites and blogs in Chicago, LA, Dallas, and on several national blogs. It's like someone spent a day posting it everywhere. jeeze talk about a waste of time.

fake blecher said...

fake alschuler is a SCAB. TAKE IT DOWN RUMP. DON'T ALLOW HIM TO CROSS THE WRITER'S PICKET LINE. PEOPLE ARE LOSING THEIR HOMES THIS CHRISTMAS AND THAT SCAB IS WRITING STUFF AND TRYING TO GET PAID.

fake alschuler said...

F U fake blecher...get a life. DOLPHINS STOP RAVENS ON 3RD AND 9 13-13 in the 4th.

Anonymous said...

OMG is that clip hysterical. I'm sending it to all my friends. They should put it up on Op restore insanity.

fake alschuler said...

Dolphins on 19...2:57 left-- run it out and kick a field goal...please.

fake alschuler said...

RUMP-- Dolphins 1:56 away from GLORY. Dolphins 16-13. Ravens have no time outs and a rookie QB. Please please please...

fake alschuler said...

OVERTIME.....we gonna blow it.

fake mandich said...

Miami has the dolphins
wayne says they're up for sale

they let the Ravens back in the game
I know they're gonna fail

0-14 is really bad
can it get any worse?

cause when you say Miami
someone needs to order a hearse.

FAKE ALSCHULER said...

OMG OMG OMG

DO YOU BELIEVE IN MIRACLES????


DOLPHINS WIN
DOLPHINS WIN
DOLPHINS WIN

CLEO LEMON THROWS 64 YARD TOUCH DOWN PASS IN OVERTIME

Anonymous said...

Note to Rumpole: updated betting advice doesn't really count when it's made at halftime.

Rumpole said...

NOT TRUE. My updated advice was made after seeing the ESPN report around 11:15 am. You're just jealous.