FRIDAY UPDATE: We are going to take some credit for warning you away from the Eagles line and over. If you took the fav or went over, you lost. Our take is the D in CeeDee. Lamb is for "drop" because he dropped two balls at the end of the game, one eminently catchable that would have given Dallas the game. Dallas played a good game. They may well be more competitive than we originally thought. Our disdain for Philly WRs for Fantasy Football was confirmed. If you had them on your team, they greatly underperformed.
And if we have not done so, PROPS to last year's FF Champion Judge De La O. He will have a hard time defending his win with selections like Vikings WR (vastly overrated) bust Justin Jefferson. But we shall see. Rumpole plays the champ in week one.
The spitting incident Thursday night before the game is inexcusable. Commissioner Rumpole imposes a 50K fine and two game suspension. We might mitigate that to one game, but it would take a lot.
KC- LA Chargers. Friday night. We have trouble picking a line when teams fly 6,000 miles for a game. We have a parlay Mahomes over 246 yards and 1.5 TDs for +160. If you want to bet the line, the Chargers are getting 3 and we suggest giving it. KC has a surprisingly good Defense which also has us leaning to the under 47.5, which the more we think about it, is the best bet for this game.
And speaking of best bets for the weekend, borrow if you have to, and put all your money on the Bills at home +1 for the Sunday night game. We have that and a parlay Bills +1 and under 50.5 for +230. This bet will allows us to expand our Opus One collection this year.
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The NFL season starts Thursday night. Are you ready?
We had our fantasy football draft Wednesday night, and after some last-minute drama where your blogger, the commissioner, was locked out of the league minutes before the draft, all ended up well as we finally got in, and with the fifth pick in the first round we eschewed the Justin Jefferson WR scam (as we did two years ago when we won the league; we leave the Jefferson pick to judges who have short last names) and reached down for rookie RB Austin Jeanty. If things turnout the way we suspect, we will once again be a powerhouse team to be feared.
Eagles v. Cowboys. The line dropped from 8.5 to 8. Still too much. Eagles -8 leaves you vulnerable to a backdoor cover (for example, the Eagles are up 14 with two minutes left and the Cowboys score a meaningless TD, and now your Eagles bet is a loser).
Here is our sleeper pick- Cowboys WR George Pickens to score a TD. You can get some good odds (we got +200) on this one, and start the season off in the black. A Hurts over 200 yds passing parlay with Barkley rushing over 100 yards also seems nice.
We will save our picks for Sunday but will provide a bit of a season preview.
No, you will not get pedestrian pablum like "The Broncos will surprise a lot of people", or "The Commanders will make a deep run again" (they won't). If you want that stuff, go to ESPN or some half-baked podcast. We give you some real information that you can use, like....
Your Arizona Cardinals may have the best record in the NFL at the halfway point before fading.
The Atlanta Falcons will surprise some people; the Saints will not- they are in the lead for the first round pick of the 2026 draft along with perennial loser Cleveland Browns.
Your Miami Dolphins are heading for (best case scenario) a one-and-done-playoff appearance. Sorry, but this is not a team with legitimate super bowl aspirations.
So who will be standing at the end of January?
In the AFC it will come down to the Bills and Ravens, and as sure as Miami Dolphin fans will abandon the Fins after a few losses, you can count on Ravens QB Lamar Jackson to throw an INT late in the 4th quarter of a close game, or lose the ball in a strip-sack. The Bills make the super bowl, and yes, Denver will make a run.
In the NFC the Eagles will be the team to beat. But don't discount the San Fran 49ers. What about the LA Rams you say? An old, injured QB is not the way to pave the road to the super bowl, we reply.
And what about the Packers? Over hyped. Micha Parsons was not the missing piece. But they will be tough. And the Lions? Yup- they will be there at the end, along with Philly. And the surprise team will be the Falcons, and/or maybe the Tampa Bay Bucs.
It's going to be a great football season. Enjoy. And if you bet, remember, bet it all, you can always make more money!
8 comments:
Judge with the short last name aka Reigning Champion
An oversight I shall correct. But drafting Jefferson is a sure path to mediocrity. As would have been if I had selected Mccaffery who I could have , and did over Jefferson two years ago when I won, but alas he is on IR as week one begins. Best of luck.
SAO is miserable, mismanaged and a toxic environment. Where is the oversight? They have no accountability.
Rumpole - no post yet about Trump blowing up a suspected drug smuggling boat and killing 11 suspected gang members on board? Is due process just not a thing anymore? I’m curious what the criminal bar thinks about this unprecedented, unconstitutional, and completely deranged escalation of military powers
Our favourite judge!
Angry ASA’s crying
What is this months SAO shit show?
SAO is managed by people that have no clue how to run an office.
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