Half time thoughts. First, perhaps the worst half time show in the history of the super bowl. His mic didn't work, and that was the best part of a yawn fest. Whatever happened to Up With People?
Second, the under is looking very good. SF Defense is controlling the game, Mahomes doesn't have any one open to throw to. Hopefully Shanahan manages a lead better than his last two Super Bowl misadventures when as OC and Head Coach he blew half time leads.
Update: Check out our SB trivia below.
Welcome to Super Bowl Sunday, a bittersweet day. It has been a great 2023 Football season. The advent of online betting apps made the season so much fun. We had exciting games and playoff races and glimpsed a future where the Dolphins are relevant in end of season discussions. After today it's the NBA, college B Ball and Hockey until pitchers and catchers report.
Some Swiftie news- her foreign fans visiting Japan for her concerts are as raucous as Grateful Dead roadies, and the Japanese - notorious rule followers- your seat is your seat and you sit in it- are not happy. Not like Springsteen in Jersey, where -forgettaboutit- everyone is up and dancing and having a good time. (The link is to a NY Times article and you need a subscription to read it- if you do not have one, maybe you should get on with your life and stop reading our blog).
On to the Superbowl!!!
The 49ers are the favourite because unemotionally they are the better team. The line of SF -2 or -1.5 is what it is because the Books' goal is to balance the bets on both sides. If a book takes a million on SF and a million on KC they get 10% from the loser and that's how they make money. In other words, the sports books you are gambling with do not like to gamble.
The line is so low that we suggest taking the money line for MVP for your fav team. Think SF is going to win? Take the MVP odds for McCaffrey or Purdy at +160 or so and skip the -115 for SF. Similar to KC- take Mahomes MVP at +150 rather than KC at even money.
Both teams have good defenses. Take the under 47.5.
Our analysis:
SF is the better team . Professional money is flowing on SF and yet we like KC for reasons other than Mahomes.
Reason 1- KC has the better defensive coordinator- Steve Spagnuolo. He has been a genius in the playoffs, stopping Ravens QB and season MVP Lamar Jackson and containing the Bills all world QB Josh Allen and giving his team a chance to win both games. As to the Super Bowl? Can you say "blitz"? Spags will pressure Purdy with extra linebackers and bring up safeties to stop the run until SF has an answer. By then it could be 21-10 and the game will be over.
Reason 2- SF's kicker is ifffy at best. Jake Moody, a rookie third round pick, missed the game winning FG against the Browns during the season and has been shaky throughout the season. Harrison Butker, KC's kicker has been money- making tricky kicks in -20 degree weather against the Fins in the playoffs, and on the frozen field in Buffalo during the AFC championship. If it is a close game ( and we think it will be) Butker, the more experienced and reliable kicker could be the difference.
Props- now that we have betting apps, props have exploded, Here are some of our favourites
SF receiver Ayouk under 4.5 receptions. He averages 4 receptions per game and KC will be locking him down with their best CB.
KC or SF (we bet both) turnover on the first drive, $100 pays $750 - have some fun.
Speaking of fun, Nick Bosa (SF) or Felix Anudike-Uzomah (KC) anytime TD- +15,000. Yes you read that right- a defensive lineman sack-scoop-td pays $1,500 on a ten-dollar bet. We took each for a C-Note because we will not just be eating during the Super Bowl, but drinking our new fav Michelob hard seltzers.
Chiefs RB Isiah Pacheco over 67.5 yards running. If you like the under as we do, then the Chiefs will be running the ball.
Check back later for updates. As we said earlier in the week, the coin-toss in the Vegas desert is trick, the difference in temperature outside the stadium ( and it's been cold and rainy all week) versus inside the stadium, along with no wind, dry air, the person tossing the coin, have all thrown our simulations into uncharted territory.
Enjoy the super bowl with friends and family. It's a fun day and so long as you haven't cut and cord and lost your Hulu log in (or in this case isn't Paramount Plus airing the game?) you should have a great time. Or maybe walk to the neighborhood bar and watch it there with a sad serving of chicken nuggets.
Our Super Bowl fare will include our fav NYC Pizza restaurant- Joes! Which now has a Miami outlet- and they deliver!! We will post a picture of our pie during the game. What's your go to Super Bowl food?
SUPER BOWL TRIVIA No Goggling just for fun.
1) One player was on the super bowl winning team on his birthday which was the age of the super bowl. For example if a player won super bowl 45 and turned 45 that day. Which player had a birthday to remember?
2) Four players have over 400 total yards (not passing so no QBs) in their super bowl career. Hint - two come from one team.
3) Which Super Bowl had what ended up being the most hall of famers play - meaning looking back after a player retired and was elected to the HOF at least 18 !! of them played in what was a Super Super Bowl game. Which super bowl or name the two teams. We think one had 11 and the other had 7.
4) If the running back scores a TD, he will be the second running back to score two Super Bowl TDs in their first two years in the league. Who was the first and only back to date to this?
10 comments:
Pachecko over 65. Put 500 on and a 100 parlay pacheko over 65 and mahomes mvp. Also the under
Got dragged to the Shumie Bowl on the Miami River last night at midnight. Paid for the vip gold level not diamond or platinum at 2500 or 5 k. No bottle of booze in a private section is worth 10 k for me and my gf. Although the platinum area sold out by 1 am I was told. Great food open bar but too much Taylor swift songs to dance too for my taste ( gonna see U2 in Vegas later this month ) but my gf had a blast so I’m the man for the rest of the month and that means I get favors Rumpole won’t allow me to further elaborate on.
Best bbq bark sliders I’ve ever had and they did something to their roasted corn - like a spicy sweet mustard glaze that was outrageous. Shrimp caviar tostadas were also a big hit. Maple mocha ice cream bars were overrated. Nit the best ever as the ice cream girl was saying.
Kick hits a cross bar or upright +450. You read it here first. Rumpole is right. Sf kicker sucks so the bet is a good play.
I went to the Shumie bowl party in Midtown at a Koran BBQ place. Just paid the regular entrance fee. The place was swarming with models and guys driving Lambos wearing gold Pateks. Not my crowd. I left bored and went to BK and had a whopper and fries and shake by myself. Typical Saturday night for me. Bleh.
Hey Rump I just broke up with my much younger GF in NYC because she turned out to be a fake and phony and was only interested in money. She is stalking me on my public social media. I have banned her from all my private social media but this is the business she is in- marketing and she uses social media and is also a wannabe influencer who has like over 200K followers. Any advice from you or your readers how to get her to move on? She sends this very crafty emails designed to tug at my heartstrings and make me feel guilty when all she is really doing is hanging out with her escort GFs who are making 100K a month and doing who knows what. Money is her prime motivator.
Help please
Mark Schleroth (sp) Washington Redskins Offensive lineman who won the 32nd super bowl on his 32nd birthday
2:27, you are an idiot. Karma hit you in the ass no doubt.
THE CAPTAIN REPORTS:
Your Florida Governor is proposing new legislation to combat retail theft and porch-pirates. Here are the things he has asked the Florida Legislature to get done during the current session:
Governor Ron DeSantis is building on previous actions by proposing the following:
Third degree felony if you commit retail theft with five or more individuals.
Second degree felony if criminals use social media to solicit others to participate in retail theft.
First degree felony if an individual commits retail theft with a firearm or has already had two or more prior convictions of retail theft.
Reducing the stolen property value necessary to charge criminals with a felony for stealing delivered packages.
Captain Out .......
Captain4Justice@gmail.com
Good laws. These thieves are not killing retail but also changing the landscape. The vultures need to be punished
Dulcinea del Toboso said : I don't like De Santis one bit... but I agree with this attempt to combat retail crime.
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