Lots of wild things going on for wild card weekend. Take for example the Steelers at the Bills. We jumped on the under 42 when the line opened and followed it down at under 40 and then under 38 as the weather in Buffalo got worse. With two feet of snow expected for tomorrow during game time, we would have taken under 15 but then the NFL up and today moved the game to Monday at 4:15 pm. We are monitoring the weather for Monday, but riddle us this- how was Buffalo going to cover -10 with the under at 36 (before the game was moved) in a snow storm? We had visions of a private jet to London this summer before the NFL ruined our plans. The number is now up to 40. We still like under which has been the play all year in the NFL and historically hits at a 57% rate during the playoffs when teams tighten up.
Cleveland at Houston. We will take the Texans as home dogs +3. The Joe Flacco train stops today. Update: Hope you followed our advice as two back to back Flaco pick 6's shows that he is done, the Flacco train is off the rails and our pick has paid off nicely.
Miami at Antartica KC. It is going to be something crazy like -10 at kickoff on Saturday night. The game BTW is on NBC Peacock. Welcome to 2024. It won't be the legendary Ice Bowl, which as any 30 something county court judge can tell you was played on December 31, 1967 in Green Bay at -13 where the Packers beat the Cowboys 21-17 for the NFC Championship, but it is going to be damn cold. The Fins have disappointed us greatly. They should be division champions. They should have beat the Bills last week and their season has been marked by highs and "should have" lows. Well, we made a lot of money on Miami this year and we are gonna dance with the one that brung us- Miami -5 and under 44.
Green Bay at Dallas. This is not a gimme. And we have been outspoken in our view that Dallas chokes in the post season. And whilst they did that last year, they won their first game on wildcard weekend. And we think they come strong out of the box at home, so our play is the Cowboys -2.5 for the first quarter. Exotic, but profitable.
Rams at Lions. This is our toughest play of the weekend. Either team can go on a run and end up in Las Vegas. So lets just bite the bullet and take the Lions + 3 as home dogs and maybe a ten dollar parlay that the over 52 will playoff on this one inside a dome with two good QBs.
Eagles at Tampa Bay on Monday night, now one of two games for Monday. The Bucs are +2.5 at home, but really you're going to put your hard earned money on Baker Mayfield. Really? We aren't. Philly rights the ship for at least this week.
5 comments:
No odds on the Houthi rebels surviving the weekend ? I’ll take them plus 20 over the aircraft carrier Ford. I mean after all. It’s. ford. Hahahaha
Rumpole you magnificent bastard. I read your book. I read your book. Houston +2 as a playoff home dog. Flacco throws back to back pick 6s and your Houston pick is WINNER WINNER CHICKEN DINNER
Dolphins lose almost every big game. This season has been another disappointment. Ditto for the Canes. Lot's of hype in the offseason but neither can deliver when it counts.
Nice Patton reference 6:45. Remember, all glory is fleeting.
Lions were -3. not +3.
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