Sunday, November 10, 2019

NFL WEEK 10 2019 /UNIVERSE IS IN CRISIS EDITION

The Magnificent Seven of the award wining REGJB Survivor Pool sprint into week ten of the NFL season, all of them confident a win is on the horizon. Messrs. Markus and Gonzalez hold their very valuable week pass, much like a lawyer with one extra preemptory challenge and only a handful of jurors left in the venire (jury panel for the judges reading the blog today). 

Indy is the pick for most of the Survivors- with Mr. Markus, Lucy Lew, Juan Gonzalez and Peter Sautter picking against Miami's Fins who roar into town riding a winning streak. Don't be too sure about this Madam and Gents. Miami has tasted the sweet wine from the winners cup. Their Coach is feeling the thrill of victory and the hunt is on against a Colts team that has some questions at QB.  
Mr. Fake Michaels, as is the nature of his doppelganger, goes off the reservation with an outlier pick of the Giants over the Jets, while Judge Faber likes the Sa8nts and Mr. Tischler exercises his right to hold his cards close to his vest and waits to pick.  

CRISES IN THE STARS?
No it's not the impeachment of POTUS. Cosmology cares little for the comings and goings of earthlings in the blink of a cosmological second. We are that small and insignificant, in case you needed some cheering up on this blustery (mid 80's) Miami day. 
Since astronomer Carl Hubble determined almost a hundred years ago that the universe is expanding, the question has always been, much like a Hialeah traffic cop holding a radar gun fixed with duct-tape for accuracy, just how fast? That number (cosmologically, not traffic wise) is called the Hubble Constant. 

Right now, what number is the Hubble Constant is in question, giving rise to multiple discussions (that Rumpole eagerly contributes to in a small way) about a "Hubble Constant Tension". Which is a gentler way of saying Cosmologists, who spend most of their lives secreted in dark rooms pondering the impenetrable are now shooting off emails to each other with the message equivalent of "Dude! You are so wrong about that!" and "Duh" in quick witted replies to responses.  Of course the actual emails look something like this: "v=HoD", where V is recessional velocity, Ho is the Hubble Constant, and D is the delta or change of observable distance in mega parsecs (MPcs). 

Different ways of measuring the HC yields different results which is never acceptable in science (except in breath testing machines for DUIs as the NY Times exposed here). 

 Looking at the way background radiation is distributed yields a number of 67 kilometers per second per megaparsec. The HC when measuring light emitted from a supernova (exploding star) is 73. And just for fun, Univ. Of Chicago cosmologists have arrived at an HC of 70  based on looking at light from giant red stars. 

This is a problem. To determine the fate of our universe, the HC is an important, if not the most important number in the equation. Unlike how Federal Judges arrive at loss amounts in Guideline Calculations- a decent estimate is all that is needed  (and that one-eye-closed guesstimate is legally good enough for arriving at a number that is merely the difference between a two and ten year sentence for a non-violent offender),  estimates in cosmological equations are frowned upon. This is science after all. We should nail it. But cosmologist cannot get a consensus at this time, thus the crisis mode for bespectacled scientists who spend their time pondering the infinite. 

Stay tuned for Rumpole's explanation of the Universe and tiny bubbles, with a Don Ho reference guaranteed. 

Meanwhile our picks for week ten are thin. This is a tough week. Take our Fins who have been a real money maker for us this year, constantly covering oversized spreads. It's not the Hubble Constant-it's the Miami Constant  and we like it for +10.5 over Indy.

 Like Mr. Fake Michaels we like the Gints -2.5 over the reeling Jets (LOSS) . Under 47 Seattle and San Fran sounds good. And if you must, take the 49ers -6 over Seattle. The Hawks just got by last week and are due for the let-down while San Fran's D is real.

Bills/ Browns under 40 (WIN) in a snoozer and something, just something tells us to take the Home Dog Brownies +3 in their Dog-Pound as they aren't as bad as their 2-7 record, and the Bills aren't as good as their 6-2 total. In other words both teams revert to the mean, a stat long time and careful blog readers know we love. (DOUBLE WINNER WINNER CHICKEN DINNER)

Rumpole hits the road this week for a roadshow of sorts, so posts may be few with expanding dark spots, like the universe, populating our week blog-wise. But there are worse ways to spend a week then in NYC, Chi-Town, and LA. 

7 comments:

  1. dIS IS bullsheeet wit de Giants losing. I am dee best player in survivor every year. Every year I am dee best everyone know dis. Dat giants loose is bulsheeeet for me.

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  2. Rumpus. Cut back on your drinking that Miami River swine. The Brownies were favored by three, not three point dogs. The game was a push.

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  3. VAIT VAIT- everyone lose in de pool. So dat means ve continue and I am back in? Right? I am dee best player and I vill show everyone.

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  4. Browns + 3 AND UNDER 40 and I hit them both. I win.

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  5. Rump- my GF and I cannot stop following your Dolphins picks. We are up over 2500- you've paid for our trip to NYC for Thanksgiving and then in our second bet we got buffo bucks for a fancy dinner. Well, we couldn't resist risking just a little of our winnings. So we each put up 350 and now we have another 700. I'm going to get a new suit and she has her eyes on a nice pair of sexy shoes. Thank you Rump. Thank you. We are both hard working state employees and with our combined paycheck we barely break 100 (about 51,500/each) and with two school loans, two car loans, rent, cat food (don't ask it's an issue), not to mention NextFlix, Spotify, her 8 dollar a day Latte habit, and at least 200 a weekend on Ubereats and add in drinks Thursday and Friday nights at happy hours, we barely save any money at the end of the month. But now we can splurge and take a trip.
    Please Rumpole, we've agreed not to bet anymore and lose what we have next week. But if you have a really good can't lose bet, I may be able to pry a Benji out of her and we can bet two hundred but no more.
    Thanks. Nothing better than a happy GF all heated up over our trip to NYC.

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  6. https://www.si.com/gambling/2019/11/08/nfl-week-10-betting-preview-cleveland-browns-buffalo-bills

    The Buffalo Bills head to Cleveland to battle the Browns, as a pair of AFC teams meet for the first time since 2016. FirstEnergy Stadium in Ohio hosts this contest that kicks off at 1:00 p.m. ET on Nov. 10, 2019.

    Spread: Browns -3 (-105), Bills +3 (-110)

    Moneyline: Cleveland (-150), Buffalo (+130)

    Total: OVER 39.5 (-110), UNDER 39.5 (-110)

    Congrats Rumpole on another great pick in the Dolphins game. I’m riding my winnings with the 49ers tonight.

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