SB UPDATE: I'll be live blogging the game a bit with comment moderation off, so dig in and enjoy the game and post your comments which will be visible immediately.
That should be the headline Monday. Will it be?
The last time the Giants beat the Cheaters in the Super Bowl they battered Brady into submission. So that should be the playbook this time, right? Lots of blitzes and stunts and safeties shooting the gaps.
Not this time. Not if Giant Coach Tom Coughlin is smart. The way to beat Tom Brady and Bill Belichick this time is not to blitz, but to rush two or three and keep eight or nine men in coverage, a/k/a The Dime Defense. Go ahead and let the Patriots run. Their running game never beat anyone and it never will. But their wide receivers break the best teams if they aren't properly covered.
Most important change: the Giants best defensive back plays Wes Welker wherever he lines up, including the slot. This is key. Welker beats linebackers like The Mavs beat the Heat- easily.
In a dime defense, there are six defensive backs, and then either four defensive linemen and one line backer or three d-linemen and two linebackers. The key is to put a corner back and/or safety on every Patriot wide receiver when the Patriots go five wide, which they do quite often. And out of the five wide set you will see if you study their film that they run crossing routes, Welker in the slot waiting while Branch crosses in front of him at the snap. By the time the linebacker sheds Branch's "pick" Welker is eight yards down the field. Tight man coverage at the line will stop that.
The Giants offensive will score almost at will against a weak Patriots defense. Belichick will take his QB in a shootout against any QB in the league. So this game boils down to the Giant defense stopping the Patriot offense.
When there are seven or eight defensive backs in coverage, it throws off Brady's short passing timing routes. Tight man coverage by corner backs with two safeties playing zone and perhaps one linebacker either blitzing or doubling one of the troublesome Patriot TEs is the way to disrupt the Patriot routes and confuse Brady. With eight backs n coverage, a tipped ball turns into a pick six more often than not. If the Giants can do this, they will win.
Giants 35-Patriots 27.
Take Heads in the coin toss.
Rump and friends- just staggering home after attending Kenny's annual SOBE Super Bowl Foam Party- this year it was at Chalk- the hot new Ping Pong Club opposite Mansion. Had a great time- groped lots of super hot 18 yr old models covered in foam, had a great breakfast at the diner and now I will crash until at 3pm, then it's time for the game. Love the Sobe life.
ReplyDeleteBreking news Rump- CNN and MSNBC both reporting that they blew up the chicken man in Philly last night. On the eve of the super bowl no less. What do you think- Al Queda? Al Shabazz? The Q, Fake Kenny or Shumie?
ReplyDeleteNE 37 Midgets 21.
ReplyDeleteListen to me closely my friend- you can make fun of Judges on this blog and lawyers and even me. But you cannot make fun of the Boss.
ReplyDeleteI was hanging at the Stone Pony drinking beers with Gary and Clarence and Dan and Bruce while you were listening to an old 45 of the Archies singing Sugar Sugar. So don't mess with me about Bruce, or I'll meet you in Atlantic City. Capiche?
Springsteen has not released a good cd in over 20 years
ReplyDeleteFyi- keep an eye out for Giants LB Chase Blackburn. A tackling machine.
ReplyDeleteThis comment has been removed by the author.
ReplyDeleteThe Captain Predicts:
ReplyDeleteBest Super Bowl 46 Prop Bet ....
It happened on December 28, 1958, at Yankee Stadium. The call it the "Greatest Game Ever Played" and it took place between the Baltimore Colts and the New York Football Giants. The game included 17 players/coaches/executives that would later make it to the Hall of Fame. Raymond Berry caught 12 passes in the game, a record that stands to this day.
But what made the game one for the ages is what happened at the end of the game. You see, with the Colts trailing 17-14, and with two minutes to play, Johnny Unitas took the ball and led his team from their own 14 yard line to the Giants 13. With seven seconds left, they kicked a 20 yard field goal to tie the score at 17. (Back then, the goal posts were not placed at the end line, but at the goal line). That drive, still considered one of the greatest in NFL history, was the first time the term "two minute drill" would be used. The score was tied and the teams would play in the first ever OVERTIME CHAMPIONSHIP game in NFL history.
After the Giants won the coin toss and received the kickoff, they went three and out. The Colts took over on their own 20 and Unitas drove the Colts to the Giants one. Alan Ameche took the handoff and carried the ball across the goal and into NFL lore as the Colts won the first and only NFL OVERTIME CHAMPIONSHIP game 23-17.
The first NFL champion was crowned in 1920, which is 92 years ago. This is Super Bowl 46 and the odds say that there should be one overtime game every 46 years.
So, the prop bet is - put all of your money on the prop that the game will go into Overtime. (Bet $100 and win $650).
And send some of your winnings to the David Paulus Fund.
BTW Rump - spot on with the analysis - as usual. Could not agree with it more. But I am thinking of a lower total than 62. More like 30-27 or even lower.
Enjoy the game.
Cap Out .....
The Pick: Giants 30, Patriots 21
ReplyDeletebtw- "Take Heads in he coin toss."
he = the
Weisman Clan ordered the Super Bowl Pigskin Party Pack from Niman Ranch. Gluttony includes Hot Dogs, Bratwurst, Pulled Pork and Sliders. Lets Go Giants!!
ReplyDeleteAnd we care exactly why? Ps. Best prop bet ia whether combined passing yards of both QBs will exceed combined felony calendar count of all circuit courts on the 4th floor. 8-5 above , even money below.
ReplyDeleteI'm betting on the Panthers to win the Superbowl. I'll be throwing plastic rats in the stadium rooting for the Panthers.
ReplyDeleteI'm hosting a small SB get together in my suite at the Encore here in Las Vegas. I'll be live blogging the game a bit, as my associates out here have no connection with Miami. I'm turning off commit moderation for the game, so have at it, but be nice and stick to the game and don't make me work too hard. Enjoy the game.
ReplyDeleteBrady said he would take the ball at his 20 down three with two minutes to go versus having to watch Eli in the same situation.
ReplyDeleteI hate the super bowl. No hate is not the right word. I have no interest in it and it bothers me the way everyone else is whipped into a fever pitch by the advertising and hype surrounding a mediocre game. Giant fans- say you don't have the mortgage this month- is the Giants winning the game going to change your desperate financial situation? No.
ReplyDeleteWhen I was growing up, there were five of us- Dad made us do Latin declinations during the super bowl, with the TV off and the classical musical station from our small home town outside of Boston on the radio. He raised a neurosurgeon, a venture capitalist who is making millions in silicon valley who has a PHD in Economics from MIT, a vascular surgeon who is now teaching at the University of Chicago Medical school, a astro-physics major at the University of Stanford, and myself, Summa Cum Laude at the University of Chicago School of Law.
Keeping eating those cheetos and rooting for some big lummox who given the opportunity, would never root for you.
Of course I won the coin toss. I have it locked in almost every year.
ReplyDeleteMany of you are emailing me why I am in Vegas. I gave up posting football picks to join forces this year with a small betting syndicate out of Las Vegas. We jumped on small line changes with most of our bets being placed by a computer. We finished the season in the plus column in the low six figures. We took out twenty five percent and placed a very high five figure bet on one very specific part of the super bowl. Our programs determined a very large flaw in an over/under for a particular quarter, so we jumped on it early and now here we are.
In over forty years of watching football I have NEVER seen an intentional grounding called in that manner. I know a guy who threw 500 on a safety being the first score. He is going nuts right now.
ReplyDeleteAnd we had -10 first quarter over under. The figuring two scores we felt 3-3 was likely, as was six-3, obviously we push on 7-3 and lose on 7-7 or beyond. We had a very strong belief the teams would be conservative in the first quarter, although we obviously did not foresee the safety which really helped. In any event the champagne is now flowing, and we won out very last bet of this football season.
ReplyDeleteI am mostly a vegetarian. But they sent us what they told us fore gras crusted flashed fried chicken wings and I have never in my life tasted anything like this. Amazing.
Rumpole, my boyfriend keeps babbling about a 3-4 and a zone blitz. Please help.
ReplyDeleteYou've come to the right place madam.
ReplyDeleteThe terms 3-4 or 4-3 (the most common of the two terms) refers simply to the defensive alignment of the defensive linemen and linebackers. The first number refers to the number of defensive linemen with their hands on the turf, in a three or four point stance. if it's three linemen, then it's a 3. The second number refers to the number of middle linebackers behind the defensive linemen. So if it's three defensive linemen and four linebackers, it's a 3-4. If it's four defensive linemen and three linebackers, it's a 4-3.
Note you can have a 5-2, or a 2-4, or whatever alignment the defensive coaches have formulated. Also note that the first number is not the number of players rushing the quarter back. In a 3-4, if two linebackers blitz, then you have five players rushing the quarterback, but it's still a 3-4 if the number of defensive linemen to start the play was 3.
More on the zone blitz in a bit.
Chicken wings dipped in chopped liver then fried.
ReplyDeleteNo effing thanks.
Gronkowski is a decoy. The Giants must play a Dime Defense and take away those meat and potato throws- the short and medium outs- that Brady loves. They need a defensive adjustment now and they can win this game.
ReplyDeletePlease= the dime. Now- sort of like when Rocky switched to fighting as right hander for part of his second fight against Clubber Lang. I've got the right Rocky right?
I don't think so. The "trick" to beating Clubber Lange was to get him mad.
ReplyDeleteI think the switch to southpaw was in Rocky II, which helped him beat Apollo Creed.
OK- the zone blitz. First, what is a zone? When the wide receivers for the offense run out they are covered by a player who either has responsibility for a part or a zone of the field (a zone defense) or who has responsibility for the receiver wherever he goes (man to man coverage).
ReplyDeleteWhat is a blitz? A blitz is when any defensive player other than a defensive lineman rushes the quarterback.
Zone blitz- assume a corner back has a short zone coverage -perhaps the first eight yards from the line between the middle and right of the field. When the ball is snapped that corner back will not cover anyone in his zone, instead he will blitz- rush the quarter back. So who covers that area? Many times in a zone blitz it is one of the defensive linemen who will drop back into coverage, which is a very unusual event. So the zone blitz relies on confusing the offense as players who normally do one thing only ( a corner back usually covers wide receivers and a defensive lineman usually rushes the quarterback) suddenly do something else.
Can you say "lip sync"?
ReplyDeleteHang on Rump. I am VOGUING!!!
ReplyDeleteShe nearly just fell and broke her hip. Would have been a tragedy
ReplyDeleteBORING
ReplyDeleteVas is dis bulsheet? Madonna? I don recognize deeze songs. Ket bak to zee game.
ReplyDeleteThe worst half time show in the history of the super bowl. And I know bombs.
ReplyDeleteSorry Kenny. The Nieman Ranch is a well known scam. You're paying extra for the same meat I buy in Winn Dixie. Fool.
ReplyDeleteIs cjis still down?
ReplyDeleteThe WORST halftime time show honors belong to--
ReplyDeleteDiana Ross in 1986
The Who in 2010
Britney Spears with Aerosmith and Walk This Way” remake 2001
Gloria Estefan, Dorothy Hammil, Brian Boitano 1992
THE DIME DAMMIT. GO TO THE DIME!!
ReplyDeleteThe 1973 halftime show is legendary for being the word ever.
ReplyDeleteBTW- The State of the Shumie is sound, if you go by the party at Caribbean Cigars las night, the State of the Shumie is downright fantastic.
ReplyDeleteLove those Shumie Cigar girls.
I've been voguing since half time, and lord have mercy I cannot stop. I'm going to put on some NWA jams just to help me stop.
ReplyDelete1973 SB half time show- Andy Williams, Woody Herman and the Michigan Band. Yuck.
ReplyDeleteLogan Mankins is a punk.
ReplyDeleteDis game is bull sheet. Boring . Low scoring. I had dee over in every quarter and I'am getting killed. Dis is bullsheeeet.
ReplyDeleteWow Runphole, what an ego you have. Get over yourself for at least a minute or two.
ReplyDeleteBut I like dees Ferriss Bueller day off commercial re-make. Veeeery funny.
ReplyDeleteSick and tired of the NY Giants faking all these injuries.
ReplyDeleteIt's not bragging when you can do it.
ReplyDeletePeople who constantly tell others how brilliant they are about EVERYTHING have major inferiority complexes. Right? Rump.
ReplyDeleteSomeone who has a true sense of self has no need to feel insecure. Insecurities lead to self-centeredness, arrogance, feelings of superiority, and boastfulness.
ReplyDeleteWhat bothers you the most? My participation in a gambling syndicate that cleared over 200K this year? My luxurious suite at the Encore? My encyclopedic knowledge of football? Or a little of everything just pisses you off as you watch the super bowl and read my blog in your 2br 2 bath rental in Hialeah Gardens?
ReplyDeleteJust curious.
SEE? See how the dime takes away all of his safe routes?
ReplyDeleteAnd we almost had that tipped INT I wrote about. OK Eli- time to do it again.
ReplyDeleteAn jus whas de problem wit Hialeah?
ReplyDeleteDon't get discouraged Chico...the man he ain't too hard to understand....
ReplyDeleteELI MVP MVP!!!
ReplyDeleteJust keep the damn ball out of pretty boy's hands.
WOW. They always talk about letting the team score so you can get the ball back, but this is the first time I have ever seen a team do it.
ReplyDeleteCould be a genius move by the evil genius. We shall see.
somebody put a stake in this vampire's heart
ReplyDeleteWow that was close
ReplyDeleteFrom the back it looked like Gronkowski was going to grab it.
ReplyDeleteSo what is the cheater Belichick's legacy now? 12-13 in his last 25 playoff games, plus two super bowl loses in a row - all of which started after he was caught cheating.
I told you the Giants plus three was the bet of a lifetime.
ReplyDeleteRump- this is Fake Captain with Coach Belichick in the Patriots locker room.
ReplyDeleteTough loss coach.
CB: The Giants played a great game.
FC: But you have to admit you find it a lot harder to win a super bowl or any playoff game for that manner without cheating. Having lost your last two super bowl appearances, you are heading in Minnesota Viking/Buffalo Bills territory as perennial losers. What do you have to say about that?
CB: WHo the hell are you? Are you with NBC?
Unidentified voice: He's with that trouble making blog in Miami.
CB: Get the hell out of here.
FC Back to you in Miami Rump.
Who won the puppy bowl?
ReplyDeleteRump obviously had one too many in his imaginary suite in Vegas. Pretty funny though. A lot of credit must go to Coach Tom Coughlin. Good stuff.
ReplyDeleteRump was drinking heavily
ReplyDelete