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Showing posts with label NFL Playoffs 2024. Show all posts
Showing posts with label NFL Playoffs 2024. Show all posts

Sunday, January 21, 2024

PLAYOFF SUNDAY 2024

 We went 2-0 on our picks yesterday.  Naturally. 

The Texans kept it close for the first half, but then the Ravens pulled away, while the Packers lead late in the fourth quarter before the 49'ers took the lead. Green Bay had a chance to win it, but Love threw a late INT and the game was over. 

We see the two playoff games today in a similar way. 

Tampa, like Houston, has had a great and improbable run. It ends today in Detroit. Take the Lions at home -6.  It may be close for a while, but Baker Mayfield is not beating Detroit in Detroit. Period. 

Meanwhile the game of the weekend is the last game Sunday. The Chiefs, on the road in the playoffs for the first time in the Patrick Mahomes era goes to sunny and tropical Buffalo (not- this weekend the Bills out word for the community to show up and shovel snow at the Stadium for $20/an hour- or about what court appointments pay, adjusting for inflation. And there's more satisfaction in shoveling a pile of snow then wading through a pile of discovery.)


Game Day in Buffalo


KC's ride ends today. Buffalo is at home. They have the better QB at the moment. A better running game, and much better wide receivers. The only thing holding this line down is the injuries- Buffalo has a snow mound of em, But we are going with the better team overall here. Props to the KC defense, and Mahomes is always dangerous. But we think the Bills move on to play Baltimore next week. 

When the Bills came to Miami for MNF we had Stephon Diggs at +62 receiving yards. He did that in the first half. We are taking him again on a prop with the same number. 

We also like him over 5.5 receptions and RB James Cook over 2.5 receptions. 

In the Lions game, take a flyer on Mayfield over 260 yards and Geoff under 280 yards on the theory that the Lions will be up and running the ball and the Bucs will be chucking it to catchup. Maybe a nifty parlay on those two will pay for our next bottle of Opus One. 

Enjoy the Games. There are five games left in the NFL season before today. Three after. 😱 It's been a fun year.