Saturday, January 13, 2007

NFL PLAYOFF WEEKEND

Saturday sees the Colts at the Ravens and the Eagles at the Saints.

Colts are +3.5 on the road at Baltimore. Important to note -Colts, who finished the season at 13-4 were 4-4 on the road, while the Ravens were 7-1 at home.

This is THE challenge for the Ravens. Win this, and it’s two easy games to a super victory in Miami.

Colts must remember their flat playoff performance last year as the big home favorite over the Steelers. Manning has a lot to prove, but with a worse defense behind him this year . Ravens play the best 4-3 cover 2 in the league, and have a story book ending in veteran McNair returning to the super bowl where his Titans lost on the last play when they came up a yard and half short of TD against the Rams.

This is a tough game and I would stay away – too many variables to get a good fix on the game- but if you must have action, the Ravens are the play. While the Ravens D gives up 12 points a game versus the Colts D that gives up 21 a game, the Ravens surprising offense scores 22 points a game while the Colts put up 26 a game. On paper and at home, the Ravens are the call.


The Eagles are getting 5 points at New Orleans. The over under is 48. I like the under. Saints are a surprisingly poor 4-4 at home and 6-2 on the road. Both teams averaged about 25 points a game and both defenses gave up about 20 points a game. Figure the Eagles to try and slow things down and the under looks nice.


New Orleans- I don’t know. Something doesn’t seem right about them.

Brees had a great year. They have Deuce and Reggie….and yet I don’t love their receivers and Reggie is a better receiver than back at this point. If he breaks a punt return loose for 7 then the Eagles are in trouble. But I don’t think the Jeff Garcia train 's last stop is the Big Easy. Eagles. Under.



Sunday has Seattle at Chi town and the Patriots at the Chargers.

Easy game is Pats at Chargers. Defense and running games win championships. San Diego has both. If San Diego is up early, this will be over quick. Pats average 25 on offense and 15 on defense-differential of 10; while Chargers average 31 on offense and 19 on defense- a differential of 12. The yardage stats on defense are about equal for both teams, but SD has a superior ability to ruh the QB- just what a team needs in January to beat the evil genuis and his QB. The Pats offense and defense is being held together by chewing gum and Belichick. Tom Brady can only do so much, and he can be rattled if you put some helmets on him, which the Chargers blitzing D can do. Tough to bet against the evil genius in a playoff game, plus Rivers is for all intents and purposes a rookie QB starting a playoff game, but this is not the Patriots year. Give the points to the Pats. SD covers.

Seahawks go to Chicago. Seahawks should have a chip on their shoulder. Like the Colts, they lost a big game last year to the Steelers that they should have won. The hawks were flat in the super bowl and all they needed to be was average to win the thing. Da Bears have a terrific D, and a suspect running game and a QB who has more ups and downs than a porn star doing reverse cowboy. Seahawks just barely beat Cowboys, but sometimes all a super bowl team needs is a little luck to go a long way.

Seahawks D –on average – gave up 21 points a game, while the offense scored 20 points a game. A -1 will not get you far in life. And yet….Hawks have the better coach…Hawks have the more experienced QB….Hawks have a league MVP carrying the rock. Bears have a better defense, and doesn’t D win championships? Yes, but not today. RUMPOLE UPSET SPECIAL. TAKE THE 9.5 POINTS IF YOU THINK SEATTLE WILL KEEP IT CLOSE, OR TAKE THE MONEY LINE IF YOU LIKE THE UPSET.


PS. Seattle does have Offensive line problems which cuts down on their ability to run, so don't bet the mortgage, but look for the upset.

44 comments:

  1. Just one more day until Barzee announces he is Rumpole and Denaro dances nakes at noon on Lincoln road. Be there, or be square.

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  2. The new Judges are back in town. Thank goodness...justice was barely eeeking by...now this barrel of brains and top notch legal talent..[choke..choke...choke] is back, we can get about the business of trying cases. I just can't wait until one of these 90 day wonders who has never picked a jury starts telling me what I'm doing wrong.

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  3. They should have the Q up there at judicial college...although I am not sure he would want to share the best of his bag of tricks with them.

    That Q!!!

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  4. What's the Q like in DUI's this year so far: 14-2 or something like that?

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  5. who r u rumpole
    people say
    now its barzee
    rumpole of the day!!!

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  6. 2 dimes on the ravens...if and reverse with Eagles then under....16k if rumpole's picks play out....bout a month of cash for me.

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  7. I think dollar bill barzee would be a great rumpole. If he is not rumpole, I immediately place his name into nomination as the next rumpole! Second the nomination?

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  8. I second the nomination!

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  9. That's the first reference to the former senator and 1956 democatic nominee for Vice President we have seen on this blog. Trivia: Who did Keefauver nudge out for the VP nomination?

    PS: We might seriously entertain an election for a new Rumpole. Post your thoughts and other nominees.

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  10. Will the person who snapped the Bennett Brummer naping "en auto" photo please email susannah nesmith at the herald to give her the details of the photo? Might be a juicy story.

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  11. Click the Brummer photo- then at the blog site- click on enlarge this image- then right click-save picture as- the photog has named the picture "SLEEPY".

    ROFL ROFL RFOL

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  12. rUMPOLE- 2 DIMES on these Ravens--good d not much o--- don't make me angry here.

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  13. Bennett Brummer uses Vonage to make calls on the web -including free calls to canada and Europe- you should too!!!

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  14. Bennet Brummer uses Vytorin to lower high cholesterol - and to raise his good hdl levels- YOU SHOULD TOO, ASK YOUR DOCTOR ABOUT VYTORIN.

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  15. Kefauver nudged out JFK to be on the Stevenson/Kefauver ticket for the second straight time.

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  16. and...ACTION

    BB: Hi. This is Bennett Brummer for EZ Off. After a tough day at the office the last thing I need is to come home to a dirty oven. And boy are my days tough. Have you read what that idiot Koch is saying? And just after I got rid of him I had these two knuckleheads Gabe Martin and Lonnie Richardson challenge me...

    Spike Lee: CUT!...Bennett...Dog...what ya doin dog? Just read this script..don't go bein like in some woody allen movie and all where you can just say what you want.

    BB: But have you read the papers? First Koch, then an election, then this picture of me taking a nap. You could make a movie of this.

    Lee: But I'm NOT making a movie. We got some execs paying us millions to make this commercial, so just stick to the script so we can cash some checks and get the flow. OK?

    BB: Ok. Uhh..Dog..My Dog?
    Is it proper to say dog...or are you my dog? I don't know with the young people today and this rap and dog stuff...

    Lee: Dog is fine. Now start at the top just how it is written on the Cue Cards.

    Hi!..This is Bennett Brummer for EZ Off. after a tough day at work the last thing I need to do is come home to a dirty oven....

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  17. Right you are History buff. And old Adlai became the ambassador to the UN where he kicked old
    Kruchev's ambassador Valerian Zorin right in the old russian tuchas as
    He forcefully asked Zorin, if his country was installing missiles in Cuba: "Don't wait for the translation, answer me now!" he yelled. Following Zorin's refusal to answer the abrupt question, Stevenson said "I am prepared to wait for my answer until Hell freezes over."

    All this happened much to the delight of the Kennedy crowd who didn't think Adlai had it in him.

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  18. I love this time of the year - these have to be some of the best matchups in quite a while!



    Sports Betting Guide - Use This Secret Technique To Cover 90% Of Your Wagers!

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  19. who dat who dat who dat sayin they gonna beat them saints who dat

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  20. Brummer was sleeping on the job! Fire that Jerk!

    Rumpole, please provide us with a complete list of all the Brass in Brummer's Office. The Witch Hunt Starts Today!

    Nesmith, do something. Put this man on the spot once and for all. Ask Fernandez-Bundles what she will do about Brummer and all his crap. Jail hopefully?

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  21. listen up.

    what is it with all the BHB bashing! get over it already and leave the guy alone. If ya dont like the guy run against him or is it that you are a bigger ass!!

    Stop bashing BHB or at least be woman enoough and post you name!

    Rumpole you should down some laxitives and get over your self!

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  22. 12:30, Go To Hell.

    Let'em speak about Brummer if they want. Seems to me the guy is stealing money since he sleeps on the job as well as cheating defendants.

    I am going back to bed.

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  23. Rumpole,

    Your playoff picks are really bad.

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  24. Rumpole dat say dem Eagles beat dem saints....but Rumpole's eagle bet covered if you took the Eagles.

    If you read my analysis of the Indy/Ravens game, while I liked the Ravens to win- there is no doubt I thought they would win- I wasn't sue they would cover so I said to stay away from the game. Indy's defense has surged in the playoffs- if this keeps up they will be super-

    of course I jinxed the Ravens to win it all and they didn't win one playoff game. I really fault Coach Billick because he team was flat.

    The Ravens had the talent to win it all this year. Their defense peaked this year and I do not think they will even win the division next year. This was their window and they blew it, and I feel bad about it.

    (Is Rumpole from Baltimore????)

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  25. PS. If todays games go Bears Pats, then I had a bad weekend. If I sweep today and Seattle upsets the bears, then I am back to my unbelievably brillant football picks.

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  26. The Prophecy:

    The sun sign Scorpio is one of the most powerful astrological signs in the zodiac. Dynamic and forceful, they make excelent leaders. One the list of famous Scorpio people on the left you will find several leaders. This is what they do best, lead. They are very determined and forceful, and do not accept failure as an option. It is not a good idea to get on Scorpio's bad side!

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  27. If they were so ineffective, how come the Chavez defense team won an award from the ACLU for their work?

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  28. you sort of sucked in your saturday picks

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  29. lets end this art koch thing. nobody could say that he was ineffective based on the defense he threw down. it was strong. all he said was that Brummer told him to delay the action until after the election. That assertion by Koch, if true, shows the charater of Brummer. He is weak. And this assertion by Koch is bolstered by Brummer conflicting on the appeal.

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  30. trash brummer

    obsess with who Rumpole is

    trash brummer

    obsess about who Rumpole is

    trash brummer

    obsess with who Rumpole is

    trash brummer

    obsess with who Rumpole is

    trash brummer

    obsess with who Rumpole is

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  31. NEVER BET AGAINST BRADY. HE IS THE BEST QB OF ALL TIME.

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  32. never bet against brummer. he is the best pd of all time.

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  33. Too bad that you let your irrational hatred of your hometown Bears overwhelm your usually good betting judgment. And don't excuse it by saying that the Seahawks covered, since you picked them to win the game ourtright in your upset of the week. Go ahead and pick against the Bears next week and watch them send the Saints back to their pestilence infected dunghole of a city in abject misery. See you in Miami for the Super Bowl, and you're welcome to come to my restaurant for a Chicago hot dog and an Old Style any day to celebrate this Chicago victory.

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  34. Too bad about your picks, Rumpole. If I would have done the exact opposite of what you recommended, I could have made a lot of money this weekend (I made a lot of money anyway from my own picks). I predict a Chicago/Indianapolis Super Bowl with Rex Grossman bringing the bacon home in honor of his alma mater National Champion Florida Gators.

    Your admirer,

    Brad

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  35. who dats v. the pats. who dat win because of destiny.

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  36. A lonely PD here. I am up to get ready for the MLK parade that Brummer is forcing us to attend so he can get votes. I will look for him to snap a picture of him sleeping before the parade. Oh well, wish me luck.

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  37. Easy game huh? Are you kidding me Rumpole to pick against Brady and
    claim it is an easy pick. Good job
    on that one dimwit.

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  38. Migna in 2008? Yeah, right! Not working with Roberto anymore I guess. Or, she can now pay him $50K in October to assure a lost again.

    LOL!

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  39. Although I did not track his weekly picks, I seem to recall Rumpole having a very nice season record. He posts his picks before the games, which is all you can ask. Most "pro" handicappers are lucky to pick anywhere near 60% (despite thier lofty claims of 75% or higher). And to spot a good handicapper, you should look at the season record, not the playoff record.

    You go Rump

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  40. La la la la
    La la la la
    The Migna Song...

    Everybody get on the Migna Bandwagon!

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