Before we begin pigskin prognostication, we are reading the biography of Paul Newman "The Extraordinary Life of an Ordinary Man", culled together from hundreds of hours of oral interviews. "Who?" says the majority of 30 something judges as they scroll IG and Snapchat. "Oh yeah, the guy who sold popcorn and salad dressing." For those of you thinking that, please don't read it. Keep on with your candy crush games and denying rule 3's without a hearing and sentencing people to the max because it makes you feel tough and smart.
For those few of you who don't fit the above description, it's a good read.
Our national past time has never been better. We are talking about baseball. Two nights ago, David Ovalle's San Diego Padres edged out the LA Dodgers 2-1 in a 9-inning nail bitter. On Saturday they eliminated their hated rivals who won 111 games this year. In two weeks, the Padres have toppled two 100+ game winners- the Mets (101 wins) and the Dodgers (111), who everyone (including Rumpole) had playing in the NLCS. This SD team has chops.
Meanwhile the Phillies eliminated the World Champion Braves, and in a classic playoff game that went over six hours and 18 innings the Houston Astros returned to the NLCS for a record six straight years beating the Mariners in Seattle 1-0 in as great a baseball game as you will ever see. And in Cleveland, down 5-3 in the bottom of the 9th, the Guardians stroked four straight singles to beat the Yanks go up 2-1 in the series and make today a win or go home game for the Yankees.. George Steinbrenner immediately fired the Yanks manager from his grave for mis-managing the bullpen.
NFL.
Are there any good games this week?
Cheaters at Browns? Yawn. Jags at Colts? Double yawn. Bucs at Steelers? Snooze fest.
Maybe we will skip this week.
Can your Miami Dolphins, with half the team in the NFL concussion protocol and the other half in the NFL boo-boo protocol win against Minnesota Vikings team that are a surprising 4-1? The answer is yes, maybe, could be, sure, who knows? Fins are home dogs getting 4.5 and we love home dogs (more on that below). So take a flyer on Miami's 3rd string QB and take the 4.5 and the under 45.5.
Ravens at Giants. Boy did we blow our pre-season analysis of the Giants. They aren't half bad. And the Ravens aren't that great. Gints are home dogs getting 5.5. We think no, they won't cover, but that's no fun. So lets take a couple of bucks and role with the NY Football Giants. And see below for our sucker bets this week because we are in that kind of mood. WIN- HOME DOG OF COURSE
Cowboys +6 at Eagles. We did not blow our pre-season pick of Philly going to the super bowl. And currently they are 5-0. Pokes backup QB Cooper Rush does what it takes to win- handing the ball off, making some key throws, protecting the ball, and riding a really good D. Philly could care less. They are a machine and this game means a lot to them if they want to win the division. Dallas win in Philly with a backup QB? Better chance of getting a Broward jury to vote for life, and that never happens, right? Philly -6 and a Geno's cheese-steak wit, of course.
And now the game of the day: 49ers at Falcons.
Bills at Chiefs. This has confounded us all week. For the first time in his career Patrick Mahomes is a home dog. Did we mention we paid for a vacation home betting home dogs for the last 30 years? Chiefs are getting 3 at home. 3 points for Josh Allen and the Bills is a second and 20 at their own five with forty seconds left. E Z P Z. Buffalo is what KC used to be- a team that can score anywhere at anytime. After last years monster playoff game Buffalo beefed up their D and went out and got Von Miller. The Bills told Miller- "here's a truck load of money. Do whatever you want for the rest of the season, but be a presence when we play the Chiefs." KC in turn got rid of their best receiver (sending him to Miami) and signed an average JuJu Smith-Schuster who becomes yet another in a long line of receivers who just aren't great without Big Ben throwing them the ball. Antwon Randle-El anyone? Mike Wallace Miami fans?
The Bills are better. Give the three and rest easy. But if you really want to have fun, join us in some sucker teaser bets. Remember in teasers you get six points extra and must place two bets laying 120 to win 100 (some books list teasers at 130-100, If you can find -110 let us know.)
Teaser One: Miami 10.5 (from 4.5) and under 51.5 (from 45.5). WIN BECAUSE OF THE TEASE -Fins lost 24-16.
Teaser Two: Giants 11.5 (from 5.5) and Eagles even (from -6). WIN
Teaser Three: Bills +3 (from -3) and Eagles even. WIN
There is a concept in betting called "expected value" EV. We do not have the time to explain it, Suffice to say if you do the math you can almost never get a positive EV on a teaser, which means Las vegas casinos build billion dollar extensions based on the EV in booking your teaser bets. But they are fun so what the hay? Have a few cold ones, some chili con queso dip and chips and book a few teaser and live a little, As Freddy Rumsen said the night Don and Roger fired him on Mad Men "Monday will be here sooner than you think."
SURVIVOR SOON
UPDATE POOLER'S ZOOM PICKS THE CARDINALS - 3:58 PM.
Markus and Ireland go down with the Brady's upset by the Steelers. Possible for Hanzy and Coco to win on a well placed bye.
Book1 SURVIVOR Week Six by Anonymous PbHV4H on Scribd
Hanzy and coconuts take Bye. Cowards. Real men make picks. I should make pick in Bills chiefs for fun and show you all I am de best
ReplyDeleteDolphins are three point dogs. Where are you getting 4.5 points from. Checked every site. They are all 3 or 3.5.
ReplyDeleteFAM we are going to beat you like a cheap Romanian drum.
ReplyDeleteHanzy & Coco
Obviously - The famed Jurists Hanzy&Coco take the 2022 Survivor Pool this year. It’s their year. Sorry Fake Alex.
ReplyDeleteRump back for some help. I wrote about my super sexy and smart (Ivy league college and Law School) GF who was obsessed with Watergate. I thought your answers put this to rest. Well Friday we had some amazing you know what (we have an off the chart physical relationship) and she was dreamy afterward and I asked what was on her mind and she said something like "I just don't know if it was only Donald Segretti and Ken Clawson who wrote the Muskie Cannuck letter" and I was like WTF is a matter with you?
ReplyDeleteWhen we met on a date we were fixed up on she quoted Spinoza and Shakespeare from memory, and we shared a mutual interest in Kabuki and early Persian artifacts. But she also explained she didn't think it was at all clear John Booth killed Lincoln and that it was one of his security men based on what she believed was the angle of entry described by the doctors.
Anyway she is now emailing the Nixon library to reserve a room and tapes that have Clawson and Segretti on them for our Thanksgiving holiday. I mean California is ok for a vacay but to spend it in the Nixon library listening to tapes? Really?
She also says that the media over looked Ken Clawson. Where did he work before going to work for Nixon she asked me. I had no fing idea. THE WASHINGTON POST she shouted over drinks the other day. What do you make of that? She yelled at me. I have no clue I responded.
I am worried this relationship is doomed. How can a beautiful and smart woman be so obsessed with something that is like 50 years old? She is willing to wreck us to get to the bottom of her mysteries which aren't really even relevant anymore.
Any suggestions? We live together and have adopted a dog, a cat, and a parrot and breaking up will involve dividing up the pets and some of the Persian art we bought together. That wont be fun, plus I love all of her except this weird thing of her being obsessed with what I think is nonsense.
In need Indeed.
You pick the Tampas over Steelers in Pittsburgh and steelers coming off bad loss last week? You are fools always betting on last weeks results instead of looking forward. I laugh at you both Markus and irsishland hahahahahahaha. I need some real competition. DIS IS TOO EASY FOR ME.
ReplyDeleteAnd Hanzy and coco too afraid to pick- oh we vant bye we are scaredy cats. Vell you no can hide from me next week you pair of coconuts
Oh bye de vay dolphins stink and I tell you dis but dey vin a few games early on and everyone in miami front running idiots tink dolphins go to super bowl. No dey go to toilet bowl and make everyone sick
ReplyDeleteThe Muskie letter was one of the infamous dirty tricks pulled off by Segreti and Clawson. It was a poorly spelled letter to the Manchester Union Leader newspaper in which a person asked Muskie how he could help black people when Maine had so few black Americans in which the author alleged Muskie responded "come to where I live we have Canucks" which is a derogatory term for Canadians. A lot of Americans of Canadian heritage lived in New Hampshire where the Union leader was published. The letter appeared a few weeks before the democratic primary. That letter along with William Loeb the publisher of the Union leader publishing a report saying bad things about Muskie's wife (she secretly smoked and drank) caused Muskie to give a speech in front of the newspaper in which he reportedly broke down crying.
ReplyDeleteThe issue behind all of this is that Nixon wanted to run against McGovern and believed Muskie was a strong candidate. The crying speech, the letter and then the revelation Muskie had been treated with shock therapy in the 60s (considered a common treatment for simple depression) drove Muskie out of the race.
It is accepted that Segreti came up with the idea for the letter and attacks on Muskie (that was his specialty which from his USC days he called "Rat fuc&ing") and Clawson a former Washington Post editor probably wrote it.
I'm not sure what is driving your GF nuts about this. It is pretty much accepted fact from the Watergate case and covered extensively in several histories including All The President's Men.
KC finally using JUJU took them five freaking weeks
ReplyDeleteShumie picked the bills in his podcast
ReplyDeleteDolphins stink fire the coach
ReplyDeleteThere's a dozen threads on reddit dealing with Segreti and Clawson and Watergate usually by vaccine deniers btw- dump the girl- I don't care how beautiful and smart she is. she is also wacky
ReplyDeleteKen Clawson had a stroke in 1975 shortly after leaving the white house- he worked for Ford for a while after RMN resigned.
ReplyDeleteIn the 1990s based on him having worked at the Washington Post before joining Nixon many thought he was Deep Throat. He was not.
He was Harvard educated (most who surrounded Nixon went to college in California except of course for Kissinger) and deeply devoted to the President. The Muskie Letter was very much beneath a man who was a good and smart public servant. He dies in his early sixties. A tragic life indeed.
Dump the chick even though she is a smartie hottie- plenty of fish in the sea and she is a nutso over this small moment in American history that is arcane.
Hi In Need here. Lot of people telling me to end this. Some more info- bad- she found an autographed copy of Alexander Butterfield on Ebay - black and white 8x11 and paid $500 for it. It's hanging in a hallway after I refused to allow it in our bedroom. Too creepy.
ReplyDeleteShe is sweet. Loves to cook. Loves to surprise me with small gifts or homemade cookies to take to work. She is clean and neat and loving to our pets. We run 5Ks together on Saturdays and do peloton weight classes together in our second bedroom. We have sailed in a 25 foot sloop through the Greek isles, climbed Mount Kilimanjaro in Africa - The Lemosho-Western Breach route if you care. Away from the more touristy routes. I told her to look at Ethereum when it was 300 a coin and she got obsessed (naturally)and made us a very nice house down Payment although she is keeping half of it in eth because she says its going to run to 10K next year.
We basically have agreed to get married. But then this Watergate stuff comes up, often at the most inappropriate times and I get freaked out.
But thanks for listening and BTW I know this is a Miami blog and we have nothing to do with Miami. I went to law school there and found the blog and have always read it.
@2:51/7:08pm-- listen here, love is rare. Who cares if she is fixated on Watergate? We all have little quirks. Im sure there must be something about you she finds annoying but again this is part of what being in a relationship. I think you are scared and that is normal and are using the Watergate as an excuse. Ever heard of the saying, 'everything you want is on the other side of fear?' Be brave enough to say "goodbye" to your fear(s) and life will reward you with a new "hello" We have so many defenses to protect ourselves from hurting and hurting others but ask yourself, do you love her? Does she love you? If the answer is yes then book yourself a flight a Vegas and say your vows at the Little White Chapel. It is obvious you love each other. When you find someone who loves you hold on to it and you do not let it go. You have one life, do not throw it away. Love fully.
ReplyDeleteMarry her immediately. Have five kids in five years. Play each of them the Watergate tapes while they are in the womb. Then really immerse them in Watergate so you can both sit around the dinner table and converse with the other five people who give a shit about Watergate.
ReplyDeleteThen get a book on comedy writing. Go to the section entitled, "When your comedy sketch runs out of steam." Read it, then read it again ten more times. Hopefully you will have taken the hint.
My phone must have autocorrected "Bye" to "Bucs"
ReplyDelete@251: You ask "How can a beautiful and smart woman be so obsessed with something that is like 50 years old?" - ask the ladies at Cafe Abbracci.
ReplyDelete@4:23-- The most beautiful women are lonely because some women are jealous of them and the men are afraid to approach them because they assume they are taken or too nervous to approach them.
ReplyDelete7:08pm-- Marry her you idiot. End of story.