UPDATE INCLUDING FLORIDA PEAK RATE PREDICTION
STATS IN THE US:
It took from 2/29 to 3/17 to reach 100 deaths in the US. Nine more days to reach 1000 deaths. 72 house to reach 2000 deaths. This is a classic pandemic curve. STAY INSIDE PLEASE.
Deaths in the US will reach 81,114 by August 4. The peak is predicted on April 14 of this coming month with more than 2000 deaths. Source: Health Data. ORG.
NOW IS THE TIME TO STAY INSIDE AND PRACTICE SOCIAL DISTANCING.
FLORIDA IS FLATTENING THE CURVE. That's the good news. The mortality rate is predicted to peak in Florida on May 14. That means we need to remain isolated in our homes for 45 more days. That is bad news. HANG IN THERE. We will help you get through this.
COVID 19 DASHBOARD COURTESY OF JOHN HOPKINS UNIVERSITY
ZOOM baby. Zoom. Court hearings are continuing. The virus curve is rising in Florida meaning our prediction about the heat protecting us is not apparently correct, although New Mexico and Arizona are still reporting low case numbers.
You need to do your work, and you need to stay safe. What is a lawyer to do?
ZOOM!
Court hearings will most likely be conducted by Zoom so it's time you get on the Internet, go here ZOOM, download Zoom, find someone under the age of 18 to help you and get up and Zooming.
Have ZOOM questions? Don't ask us. We still use a Motorola Brick Cell Phone and beeper to stay in touch.
BTW- Blog record- three embedded videos/maps.
Where is Scott Saul? WHy hasn't he been updating us with his obscure rock-n-roll tunes list?
ReplyDeleteRUMPOLE - I’m very sorry for this pandemic BUT:
ReplyDeleteIs it too late to BUY zoom stock? Any others??
When you ask someone for information and that person provides, should you say thanks?
ReplyDelete8:54 - you're a piece of shit. People are dying.
ReplyDeleteIt's way too early to conclude that the heat doesn't protect us at all. It may offer some, even substantial protection, that simply is insufficient to overcome the huge number of idiots ignoring the CDC recommendations and jeopardizing the rest of us.
ReplyDeleteBTDT
54. Zoom and all telecommunication is going to run on 5g. The play is Marvell. Appl. Att. Verizon. I do not buy the popular stocks of the moment like zoom. So why do I own appl? Go read the comments in 2010-2015 when the stock was being bashed and I was buying.
ReplyDeleteWe like amazon especially n the drops below 1800. We love Shopify.
Social distancing?
ReplyDeleteGet a big cigar, light it up and watch people run. Shumie distancing.
How my life has changed. I know it sounds petty, and I am NOT complaining. Just sharing. I have a domestic partner and we share two kids under 18.
ReplyDeleteWe have a big home and now no home keeper. Loads of laundry done before March 1 for the last year: approximately 10. Loads of laundry done daily since March 1- 10 a day!
Meals cooked before March 1 in the last year? About five. Meals cooked daily since March 1? at least three (late night grilled cheeses push it over to 4).
Floors swept and vaccumed and mopped before March 1? Maybe twice. Since March 1- entire house cleaned once a day. Beds made before March 1? NONE Beds made after March 1? 4 a day!
Dogs walked before March 1? About 1x a week on weekend. Dogs walked after March 1? 2 dogs at least twice a day.
Cakes and loaves of bread baked before March 1? Maybe 2. After March 1? 3 Cakes and 12 loaves of bread.
Life changes and we go on.
Fight the Virus !
March 28th, 2020 @ 7:28 pm,
ReplyDeleteYou asked for it and you got it !
Top ten Americana albums teeming with post COVID-19 existentialism
1. Tyler Childers Country Squire- country mixed with psychedelics
2. Sturgill Simpson A Sailor’s Guide to Earth- advice for Simpson's just- born
son
3. The Watson Twins Duo- a cynical view of the music biz
4. Jeff Tweedy Warm- The Wilco frontman's celebration of his wife
overcoming cancer
5. Avett Brothers Closest Than Together- the duo's critical take on the state of
current politics
6. Lucinda Williams Car Wheels on a Gravel Road -the pains of life, possibly
the greatest American album of all time
7. Yola Walk Through Fire- An black Englishwoman becomes one of the
most influential current Americana artists
8. Uncle Tupelo Anodyne- seminal Americana from artists that were bored
with playing punk rock
9. Drive by Truckers Southern Rock Opera- explores the duality of the South
10. Jason Isbell- Southeastern - Isbell overcomes alcoholism and drug
addiction to emerge as a premier songwriter
Hey Rumpole - do you think that the US will ever recover economically from this Coronavirus pandemic?
ReplyDeleteWill the American people be able to live the American Dream like those after WWII? Home ownership. College degrees. Pride in the USA? Being able to raise a family of 4 on a blue collar salary?
Will there be widespread foreclosures and evictions of the now struggling former working class?
I’m frightened that we will never see it again. Doom and gloom seems very real.
Please give us your wisdom and guidance.
Post of humor to lighten the mood all:
ReplyDeleteLast week there was a Herb Walker sighting along 79 street causeway in North Bay Village. He was wearing red spandex shorts while jogging (it was disgusting). Seems like he still wants attention.
First thank you Mr. Saul- you should post more music posts in these difficult times. We need some distractions. 7:23 PM- Really? "Never see it again?" So the virus burns out in July, and you're thinking in 2021 2022 2024 2030 2040 things won't be the same because we all stopped working for a few months? Come on. Relax. There will be a recovery. We will have to work hard and make some changes. ALl countries will have to start spending less on weapons and more on emergency health care, but that's not a bad thing. Government's will become more partners with industry. Again not a bad thing- look at all the money US tax payers made on the AIG bailout.
ReplyDeleteWe will have a tough time recovering in the short term. No problems recovering in the mid term and this will be a blip in the long term. So go watch some Threes Company Re-runs and relax.
@7:23 - the answer to your questions about "Will the American people be able to live the American Dream like those after WWII? Home ownership. College degrees. Pride in the USA? Being able to raise a family of 4 on a blue collar salary?" is a resounding "No." But it has been "no" since at least the Great Recession, and likely since the 1990s. Its just that in the 90s most people didn't notice yet. The baby boomers and their borrow and consume mentality were not really living the post WWII American dream, they were just racking up debt. And that bubble burst in 2008.
ReplyDeleteIf anything, post-coronavirus life will teach us the values of PRE-WWII American ideals. Today's 30 somethings and 40 somethings have come of age with 9/11 in college, the Great Recession as we tried to stretch our professional legs, the realization of never repayable student loans, and now COVID-19. We are, or will be, a sort of Great Depression survivors redux.
Many in their 30s will skip home ownership afraid of a 30 year debt commitment that might become unafordable when the next shoe drops. Young Americans will hoard cash instead. The new American Dream dream isn't keeping up with the Jones, a shinny new car, a mortgaged house, 2.5 kids, and retirement; its to have enough cash on hand to weather the storm and hopefully to pay for junior's college without saddling the next generation with student loans. The new American Dream is not a life of middle class ease, it is a more simple and more rugged "always be prepared" future. Does your Swiss watch keep the rain off of your head? Does your financed German car keep your kids warm at night? Does the Italian marble finished kitchen in your mortgaged-to-the-hilt house cook more nutritious meals than a kitchen with simple finishes in a modest house (paid cash or nearer cash)? Frugal living and cash on hand is the future.
Two days ago the NY Times reported that baby chickens are selling out all over the country as people re-evaluate their own lifestyles and self reliance. Most won't go that far. But many will adjust their lives in subtle ways that will ripple through the American economy and the fabric of life in this country.
Spend any amount of time on YouTube and you will find a thriving community of "preppers," living off grid types, "homesteaders," DYI gurus, and primitive technology enthusiasts. These channels often get 10 of millions of hits. Everyone won't go in for this sort of thing. But more and more people find simpler and more self reliant life styles to be compelling or of interest. And if you check in on these YouTube channels today, you'll see that they have exploded in popularity during today's crisis. This is the future of post COVID America.
Thank you 10:01am.
ReplyDeleteExcellent analysis of the result of our life styles and economy of the past 3 decades. I agree with you. In many ways, it breaks my heart. I was raised with parents who told us that “if you can dream it - you can achieve it.”
“Set your goals and dreams - and America will let you accomplish it with hard work.” Our reward was a beautiful family, a gorgeous home, new cars, Rolex watches and to be able to order anything on the menu of life. No more.
All of us are now gun shy. We have seen it all - from 9/11, the internet bubble, the mortgage debacle, increased tax burdens, rising education costs, unprecedented debt, stock roller coasters, no more vacation homes ... and now a plague.
Maybe ... the worst is yet to come. We find out the the capital markets are manipulated ponzi schemes that potentially could go to zero - while hedge fund manipulaters suck out our retirement savings and pensions.
Maybe ... global warming will cover out homes and communities with 10 feet of water?
Maybe ... a mutated antiviral resistant monkey virus comes next as a global pandemic and kills millions. The Bible is replete with plagues wiping out the earths population centers. Why couldn’t it happen.
There is so much hatred, jealousy and division - not only between countries - but between religions, ethnicities, politicians, male female, haves and have nots, etc. It’s getting worse.
What will save us:
- Kindness toward all
- charismatic younger leaders who inspire us
- forgiveness
- political parties that bring their ideations forward to current times.
- rewriting out Constitution to make it relevant to humanity in 2020.
- outlawing lobbying and corrupt politicians
- campaign contributions only from public governmental funds not tied to any private donor
- medical care for all that will be affordable and regulated.
- free college at public schools for those who will serve in the military, work for several years as teachers, nurses, doctors, etc. for the public good.
- commence the largest infrastructure program that the US has ever seen - rebuilding archaic roads, subways, schools, highways, free internet to all, etc. This will provide for anyone who wants to work to get a check. Public Private partnership.
- greater prosecutorial enforcement of corrupt lawmakers, judges, cops, etc. Anybody taking illegal money will be in prison.
- all other means necessary to start a more peaceful, safe, intelligent and loving world.
@11:03 am from 10:01am
ReplyDeleteYou say "Our reward was a beautiful family, a gorgeous home, new cars, Rolex watches and to be able to order anything on the menu of life. No more."
And that's the root of the problem. "Gorgeous home[s], new cars, [and] Rolex watches" are the shallow pursuits that put us in the current economic situation. And our families are just as beautiful, if not more so, without those shallow dreams. We should be dreaming of more meaningful enterprises than conspicuous consumption.
I don't mean this as an attack on you or your comment. But it is an attack on the consumerist values of post WWII America that were embraced by the Me Generation without carrying forward the ethics of struggle and sacrifice. To "order anything on the menu of life" should not be confused with ordering EVERYTHING on the menu of life.
Scott Saul posted an entry on this Blog a few months ago asking about the watches that people wear to court. I wrote a comment on that post politely criticizing the 1990s consumerist thinking behind that post. (I'm sure Scott is a fine guy. Not trying to make it personal, nor should one's taste in watches be a subject of offense. It was just an opportunity to discuss a larger issue). I think a growing number of Americans are seeing the point I was trying to make, and that the sentiment will become more popular in post-COVID America.
I just went back and found Scott's post about watches and my own comment. Wasn't as polite as I remembered. Sorry about that. But the idea remains. Should have just been nicer about it.
ReplyDelete11:03, We already had a mutated monkey virus. It is called HIV/ Aids. It killed Mann in the 1980s & 1990s.
ReplyDeleteSir Wilfred