Monday, December 02, 2013

THE LONG WALK

It's like the Steven King (writing as Richard Bachmann) classic short story: The Long Walk, as four ragged survivors struggle into the last two weeks of the season, pondering whether to pick The Browns, the Falcons, or the Vikings to try and stay alive. Yesterday we lost Alan Kaiser in overtime fittingly, as the Falcons stunned the Bills at home. Lurvey, Weisman, Lucy Lew and yours truly move on to next week. 

RUMPOLE'S FIRST RULE OF JURY TRIALS:

We now enter that difficult time of year when there's still two good trial weeks left, but no one really wants to try a case.  As your cases get continued, keep in mind Rumpole's number one rule of trials: DO NOT under any circumstances allow your case to be set for the first week of the new year. 

There are a few problems with a trial date on the first court date of the new year. First, you spend your holidays preparing for trial, and that stinks. Second, the judge spends her/his holiday making resolutions to try more cases in the new year and issue stiffer sentences to scare others from trying more cases. They come back rested from six or eight weeks of avoiding trials, having read a few self help-time management books, and they've arrived at a startling  idea: try a few cases in January, the word will get out, and they can coast the rest of the year. Don't let your client become that sacrificial lamb. 

The prosecutor meanwhile, has spent the holiday season being pestered by his/her spouse as to why "so and so" got promoted and s/he didn't? By the time the first trial week of the new year arrives, they are so primed and angry that they are desperate to find some poor defendant to take out their frustrations on. 

It's a stiff tide to swim against, and the prisons are littered with former clients serving lengthy sentences because their lawyer didn't follow Rumpole's First Rule of Trials: Do Not Try A Case In The First Week Of The New Year. 

Rumpole's first corollary to the First Rule Of Trials is as follows: plea offers decrease proportionally from the new year, per week, until they reach the equilibrium of the prior year. 
For example, if in November, you would be offered 364 for a sale of  6 grams of cocaine for a client with two drug possession priors, on January 1, the plea offer would be 8 years prison. 
On January 8, the plea offer would be 5 years prison. By January 15, the plea offer is 2 1/2, and by the middle of February you're offer is back to 364. 

We're giving you the  playbook we developed over 25 years of practice. People pay valuable money to hear this crap at CLE seminars all over the country. But you, dear blog readers, get this wisdom for free. Ignore it at your client's peril. 

See You In Court. 


28 comments:

  1. Rump, you've only been an attorney since 1988? Your knowledge of personalities from the '70's suggest you're ten years older.

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  2. Bah humbug to your first rule of trials Rumpole. I'll have you know that I have never lost a trial the first week of the New Year.

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  3. I hate the middle weeks of January. Jurors just got their holiday bills from their credit card companies - and have spent last evening yelling at their spouse. They will take it out on your client. Be afraid - be very afraid.

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  4. I am all seeing, all knowing and eternal. I've done it all, seen it all, and done it better than anyone. You say I have a god complex? Let me tell you something, when I walk into that courtroom, I am god.

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  5. rumpole

    would you put yourself in league with jack denaro?

    i have always suspect that you are roy black.

    i know you all used to work together.

    blackndenaro as they were once known..

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  6. Quoting Alec Baldwin's character from Malice, Rump? OK movie.

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  7. Jack Denaro is as good as it gets. The best.

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  8. 945. It's easy to never lose a case if you never try a case.

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  9. Love Alec Baldwin in Malice and that tag line from the movie Rump. Not as good as "You want the truth, you can't handle the truth" from a Few Good Men, but right up there with ones like "Show Me the Money" or "You had me at hello".

    I guess it's time for a Rump's Top Ten most memorable lines from the best movies segment.

    My all-time favorite has and will always be from the 1944 classic "To Have and Have Not" when Bacall tells Bogart:

    "You know how to whistle, don't you, Steve? You just put your lips together and blow."

    How about your favorites?

    Hope you had a great holiday.

    Cap Out ....
    captain4justice@gmail.com


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  10. Rump, you call yourself a prognosticator?

    I have been tracking and following your picks for the first 13 weeks of the season. As of today, with your brilliant picks this weekend that landed me in the pooper scooper, you were 1-4, (great pick of the J-E-T-S by the way, they suck suck suck), you are now 26-26 on the year.

    Thanks for nothing.

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  11. robert deniro is better than jack denaro

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  12. I have tried a DUI case many times over the years right before Christmas. Always a not guilty too.

    I agree... early January is a really bad time for a trial.

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  13. First of all knucklehead, I was 2-3 yesterday. Overall I believe I have averaged 4 of 5 wins per week and I am at 51-14 for the year.

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  14. Rump, really enjoy reading you but knuckle head is right. You did go 1-4 this weekend.

    If you want a little extra holiday money then consider the Browns at home -7 over the Jags, the Eagles at home -3.5 over the resurgent Cardinals, the Broncos getting 3.5 in KC, and the Redskins at home -2.5 over the up and down Giants. And then let it all roll on the J...E....T....S -3 over the visiting Fins.

    Your only win was the Broncos.
    You lost the Browns, Redskins, and Jets outright and the Eagles did not cover.

    That makes you 1-4.

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  15. As Johnny Carson once said as "Carnac the Magnificent" ....

    "May a Gay Skycap drop your Brother's trunks..."

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  16. This is knucklehead. You probably won't print this because then it would expose you as a fraud.

    Here are your 26 loses that you picked this year.

    Week One

    Bucs -3 over Jets LOST
    Pats -10 over Bills LOST

    Week Two

    Indy -3 over Fins LOST
    Pack -3 over Redskins LOST

    Week Three

    Jags +16 over Seattle LOST
    Giants + 2.5 over Panthers (who you said "stink") Panthers won 38-0 LOST
    Packers +1 over Bengals LOST

    Week Four

    Falcons - 2.5 over Pats LOST

    Week Five

    Chargers - 5.5 over Raiders LOST

    Week Six

    Steelers Jets over 41 LOST
    Bengals -6 over Bills LOST
    Broncos - 28 over Jags LOST

    Week Seven

    Broncos -6.5 over Indy LOST
    Eagles -3 over Cowboys LOST
    Jags over Chargers straight up LOST

    Week Eight

    Lions -3 over Cowboys LOST
    KC -7 over Browns LOST
    Jets +6 over Bengals LOST

    Week Nine

    Ravens -2.5 over Browns LOST
    Bills +4.5 over Chiefs LOST
    Cincy -3 over Fins LOST

    Week Ten

    no picks

    Week Eleven

    Jets Bills under 41 LOST

    Week Twelve

    No picks

    Week Thirteen

    Browns -7 over Jags LOST
    Eagles -3.5 over Cards LOST
    Redskins -2.5 over Giants LOST
    Jets -3 over Fins LOST

    Count em, that's 26 loses. Now you can list the 51 wins for your readers. Or they can check your own posts and see that you are now26-26 on the year.

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  17. Cap. Best line ever in great movies is a no contest with the Godfather and I'm going to make him an offer he can't refuse.

    Also love Cool Hand Luke. What we have here is a failure to communicate.

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  18. Rump, you and I (mostly you) tried an attempted first degree together many years ago during the first week (and a half) of January. A nice not guilty on a misidentification case. Was the experience of working over the holidays (and I know you worked your ass off) really that bad?

    BR

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  19. Disagree, I got a delicious "not guilty" on a case that started on Jan 4 once.

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  20. Anyone can write nonsense and make it sound true, i.e.., "week one-LOSS" ect.

    But having reviewed my numbers If anything, I underreported my wins. Plus, picking the Seahawks and over last night makes me 5-4 for the week.

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  21. If you're scared, get a dog.

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  22. Casual better here Rump. I learned a long time ago to not follow your spread picks but I do follow your over under picks religiously.

    Tell knucklehead that you may be 26-26 on the year overall, but you are 8-2 when just betting the over unders you post.

    And tell knucklehead that if he can't stand the heat of betting NFL games then he can always hit the tables in Vegas.

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  23. Best movie line ever: "Say 'what' one more goddamn time."

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  24. Rump, stocks or bonds for 2014?

    I got out of the bond market over a year ago and went heavy on the stock portfolio. Good move as the investments are up more than 20%.

    But, seeing a correction in the near term and thinking it may be time to get back into bonds. Maybe 20% of the portfolio.

    What say you all knowing ?

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  25. Love this blog. Best and getting better

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  26. Anyone can write nonsense and make it sound true, i.e.., "week one-LOSS" ect.

    You know nonsense better than anyone Rumpy, you post those nonsense picks every weekend. And then those knuckleheads actually follow and bet your picks. Serves them right if they are losing their shirts off your picks.

    I'm taking the Fins plus 3 1/2 over the Seelers this weekend. How about you

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  27. purchase bonds if you think interest rates will go lower. sell socks if you think the fed will stop buying bonds. it sounds like you like to gamble. this is not a good thing when it comes to investing in equities and bonds. buy good companies and hold. buy good real estate and hold. lend money with good collateral. but most importantly, concentrate on making money at work and dollar cost average into stocks. take it from the cysco kid. he's paid and he is fast with the six gun.

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  28. "You see Danny, I can deal with the bullets, and the bombs, and the blood. I don't want money, and I don't want medals. What I do want is for you to stand there in that faggoty white uniform and with your Harvard mouth extend me some fucking courtesy. You gotta ask me nicely."

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